The paper analyzes under what circumstances policymakers experiment with policies with uncertain outcomes, when they …

of savings, precautionary savings, loss aversion, and risk. We provide the relevant theory, followed by empirical tests …

explain a set of behavioral anomalies identified across four distinct domains of decision-making: choice under risk, choice … risk and ambiguity, belief updating, and survey expectations. Our framework makes predictions that we test using exogenous …

A large literature suggests that the expected equity risk premium is countercyclical. Using a variety of different … measures for this risk premium, we document that it also exhibits growth asymmetry, i.e. the risk premium rises sharply in … which agents cannot perfectly observe the state of current productivity, can generate the observed asymmetry in the risk …

How does economic uncertainty affect the impact of tax policy? We exploit a natural experiment in which two very …

This paper studies the impact of financial sector size and leverage on the business cycle and risk-free rates dynamics …. We develop a general equilibrium model of a productive economy where financial intermediaries provide costly risk … cycle fluctuations, while providing households with a risk-free asset whose real return is pro-cyclical and possibly …