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On the Use of Current or Forward-Looking Data in Monetary Policy : A Behavioural Macroeconomic Approach
De Grauwe, Paul; Ji, Yuemei - 2021
We analyse the use of current and forward-looking data in the setting of monetary policy (Taylor rule). We answer the question of whether the use of forward-looking data is to be preferred over the use of current data. We use a behavioural macroeconomic model that generates periods of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249662
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An Unemployment Re-Insurance Scheme for the Eurozone? Stabilizing and Redistributive Effects
Dolls, Mathias - 2020
This paper develops a decomposition framework to study the importance of different stabilization channels of an unemployment re-insurance scheme for the euro area. Running counterfactual simulations based on household micro data for the period 2000–16, the paper finds that the re-insurance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836930
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Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus
Hristov, Nikolay - 2020
We explore the effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policy on the banks' sovereign debt portfolios. In particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond holdings in response to non-standard monetary policy shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838235
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Sustainability and Solvency of Government Finances Under the Euro : Illustrations and Policy Options
Oksanen, Heikki - 2020
In this paper, sound public finances under the euro means sustainability in the long term instead of short- and medium-term fiscal discipline. The challenges to sustainability are identified for the four largest euro area member states, and several policy options for sustainability are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829317
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The Euro Crisis and Economic Growth : A Novel Counterfactual Approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019
warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone … more in the Eurozone periphery than in the standard counterfactual scenario. These results are not dictated by any specific … Eurozone's specificity, which is instead to be traced back to a sharper-than-expected contraction in investment and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042
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Measuring Euro Area Monetary Policy
Altavilla, Carlo - 2019
We study the information flow from the ECB on policy dates since its inception, using tick data. We show that three factors capture about all of the variation in the yield curve but that these are different factors with different variance shares in the window that contains the policy decision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867012
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The Euro Exchange Rate and Germany's Trade Surplus
Hohberger, Stefan - 2019
We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890627
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Private Bank Deposits and Macro/Fiscal Risk in the Euro-Area
Arghyrou, Michael - 2019
We examine the relationship between private bank deposits and macro/fiscal risk in the euro area. We test three hypotheses: First, private bank deposits relative to Germany are determined by macro/fiscal risk factors. Second, this relationship is time-varying. Third, time-variation is driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891054
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What Do Central Bankers Do? Evidence from the European Central Banks' Executive Board
Badinger, Harald - 2019
This paper examines how managers at the top of a public institution, central bank executives, allocate their working time. Using detailed information from personal diaries of the six members of the European Central Bank’s Executive Board over a period of two years, we codify and analyze more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892122
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57 Channels (and Nothin on) - Does TV-News on the Eurozone Affect Government Bond Yield Spreads?
Wolfinger, Julia - 2019
news shows of leading TV stations in 12 countries which include 37,859 news on the EU, on the Eurozone and on country …-specific economic issues. We find that an increasing share of news about the Eurozone reduces yield spreads, especially when the news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892159