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This article reviews recent research findings on the effects of fiscal multipliers in normal times, during booms/busts, and in the presence of the zero lower bound. Studies on the effects of fiscal policy in open economy settings as well as contributions on the fiscal-monetary policy mix are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892219
between multiplier size and the import share. Employing an interacted panel VAR model for EU countries, we estimate the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823559
when a small probability that some future government will exploit has a multiplier effect on earlier decisions. The … multiplier can be taken advantage of by a lobby paying for exploitation, or by a donor compensating for conservation. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834349
impact inflation, little crowding out of private expenditure exists, and the multiplier tends to be larger compared to a one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836206
inflation from its trend, implying that the more demand-driven a recession, the higher the multiplier. Median multipliers range …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292507
multiplier is sensitive to the assumption of orthogonality between total factor productivity (non-fiscal proxy) and tax shocks …. If this correlation is assumed to be zero, the tax multiplier is found to be around one. If such correlation is non …-zero, as supported by our empirical evidence, we find a tax multiplier three times as large. Second, we find the spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827668
We study empirically how various labor market institutions – (i) union density, (ii) unemployment benefit remuneration, and (iii) employment protection – shape fiscal multipliers and output volatility. Our theoretical model highlights that more stringent labor market institutions attenuate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083477
This paper re-examines the UIP relation by estimating first a benchmark linear Cointegrated VAR including the nominal exchange rate and the interest rate differential as well as central bank announcements, and then a Cointegrated Smooth Transition VAR (CVSTAR) model incorporating nonlinearities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231967
multiplier; (ii) positive long-run output multipliers are obtained only if the generational turnover effect is dominated by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261412
A number of recent studies regress a "narratively" identified measure of a macroeconomic shock directly on an outcome variable. In this note, we argue that this approach can be viewed as the reduced-form regression of an instrumental variable approach in which the narrative time series is used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435756