residuals of the policy rule equation at these shock dates accordingly. In spite of its utmost agnostic nature, this approach …

output) shortly after a monetary policy shock. To overcome this problem, we propose to estimate the VAR parameters under the … restriction that economic theory is not violated, while the shocks are still recursively identified. We solve this optimization …, generates theory-consistent impulse responses, and is as close as possible to the recursive scheme …

the pre-1980 period. Measuring expectations of future monetary policy rates conditional on a news shock suggests that the …

activity to a financial uncertainty shock during the great recession. We replicate this evidence with an estimated DSGE … real activity of an uncertainty shock under different Taylor rules estimated with normal times vs. great recession data … (the latter associated with a stronger response to output). We find that the uncertainty shock-induced output loss …

an uncertainty shock. We find a significantly stronger response of real activity in recessions. Counterfactual …