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COVID-Induced School Closures in the US and Germany : Long-Term Distributional Effects
Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola - 2022
dropped on average by -55% in the US and -45% in Germany from the onset of the crisis to the summer of 2021. In the US …, schools were closed longer in richer than in poorer areas, while in Germany the regional variation is much smaller. However …, Germany exhibited substantial variation by grade level, with a strong U-shaped patterns that implies that children attending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291960
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Persistence, Non-Linearities and Structural Breaks in European Stock Market Indices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2019
indices, namely the FTSE100 (UK), DAX30 (Germany), CAC40 (France), IBEX35 (Spain) and FTSE MIB40 (Italy), using fractional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866377
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Gold and Silver as Safe Havens : A Fractional Integration and Cointegration Analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A. - 2022
This paper investigates whether gold and silver can be considered safe havens by examining their long-run linkages with 22 stock price indices. More specifically, the stochastic properties of the differential between gold/silver prices and 22 stock indices are analysed applying fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241989
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What Kind of EU Fiscal Capacity? Evidence from a Randomized Survey Experiment in Five European Countries in Times of Corona
Beetsma, Roel - 2020
Based on a conjoint survey experiment we explore the support among European citizens for a European Union (EU) budgetary assistance instrument to combat adverse temporary or permanent economic shocks hitting Member States. Suitably designed, there is quite substantial support for such an EU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825998
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Non-Linearities and Persistence in US Long-Run Interest Rates
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A.; … - 2021
-August 2020, the other from the ECB reporting average monthly values over the period January 1900-August 2020. The estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314848
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To React or Not? Fiscal Policy, Volatility and Welfare in the EU-3
Malley, Jim - 2008
implications of countercyclical fiscal policy for France, Germany and the UK. The model incorporates real wage rigidity which is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773638
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Gravity Without Apology : The Science of Elasticities, Distance, and Trade
Carrère, Céline - 2020
Gravity as both fact and theory is one of the great success stories of recent research on international trade, and has featured prominently in the policy debate over Brexit. We first review the facts, noting the overwhelming evidence that trade tends to fall with distance. We then introduce some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839359
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The Falling Elasticity of Global Trade to Economic Activity : Testing the Demand Channel
Auboin, Marc - 2018
Since the recovery from the great financial crisis in 2010, global real trade flows grew much slower than pre-crisis, in both absolute terms (growth rates) and relative terms (relative to GDP, from 2:1 in the great 1990’s to 1:1 since 2012) A debate has arisen as to whether this global trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908674
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Unlocking New Methods to Estimate Country-Specific Trade Costs and Trade Elasticities
Freeman, Rebecca; Larch, Mario; Theodorakopoulos, Angelos; … - 2021
We propose new methods to identify the full impact of country-specific characteristics on bilateral trade flows within the framework of ‘the new quantitative trade model.’ We complement theory with a simple two-stage estimating procedure, and offer a proof of concept by quantifying the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312849
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The Relationship between Prices and Output in the UK and the US
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Claudio-Quiroga, Gloria; … - 2021
This paper analyses the relationship between CPI and real GDP in both the US and the UK using fractional integration and long-range dependence techniques. All series appear to be highly trended and to exhibit high degrees of integration and persistence, especially in the case of CPI. Since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235154