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The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Epidemic - Lessons from the 'Spanish Flu' for the Coronavirus's Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity
Barro, Robert J. - 2020
Mortality and economic contraction during the 1918-1920 Great Influenza Epidemic provide plausible upper bounds for outcomes under the coronavirus (COVID-19). Data for 43 countries imply flu-related deaths in 1918-1920 of 39 million, 2.0 percent of world population, implying 150 million deaths...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839262
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Heterogeneous Expectations, Indeterminacy, and Postwar US Business Cycles
Ilabaca, Francisco - 2020
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model extended to include heterogeneous expectations, to revisit the evidence that postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot-driven fluctuations in the pre-1979 sample, with a switch...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836715
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Shocks, Frictions, and Inequality in US Business Cycles
Bayer, Christian - 2020
How much does inequality matter for the business cycle and vice versa? Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a heterogeneous-agent New-Keynesian (HANK) model with incomplete markets and portfolio choice between liquid and illiquid assets. The model enlarges the set of shocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841741
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Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times : A Replication of the VAR Investigation by Bloom (2009)
Caggiano, Giovanni - 2020
This paper revisits the well-known VAR evidence on the real effects of uncertainty shocks by Bloom (Econometrica 2009(3): 623-685. doi: 10.3982/ECTA6248). We replicate the results in a narrow sense using Eviews. In a wide sense, we extend his study by working with a smooth transition-VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824829
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Investment Under Rational Inattention : Evidence from US Sectoral Data
Zorn, Peter - 2020
Macroeconomic and sector-specific shocks exert differential effects on investment in disaggregate sectoral data. The response to macroeconomic shocks is hump-shaped, just as in aggregate data. The effects of sectoral innovations decrease monotonically. A calibrated model of investment with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827670
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Climate Change and Economic Activity : Evidence from U.S. States
Mohaddes, Kamiar; C. Ng, Ryan N.; Pesaran, M. Hashem; … - 2022
We investigate the long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change across 48 U.S. states over the period 1963.2016 using a novel econometric strategy which links deviations of temperature and precipitation (weather) from their long-term moving-average historical norms (climate) to various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306954
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The Cost of Regulatory Compliance in the United States
Trebbi, Francesco; Zhang, Miao Ben; Simkovic, Michael - 2023
One of the key questions in the study of regulation is whether the costs of regulatory compliance fall homogeneously on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014345692
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How Do Financial Crises Redistribute Risk?
Mitchener, Kris James; Vossmeyer, Angela - 2023
We examine how financial crises redistribute risk, employing novel empirical methods and micro data from the largest financial crisis of the 20th century – the Great Depression. Using balance-sheet and systemic risk measures at the bank level, we build an econometric model with incidental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014345560
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The demands for environmental regulation and for trade in the presence of private mitigation
Hotte, Louis; Winer, Stanley L. - 2008
We study the nature of individual demands for environmental regulation and for trade openness in the general … respect to the stringency of regulation. Moreover, even though trade has the potential to benefit everyone, the poor may … oppose trade openness because of a concern that laxer environmental regulation will then be imposed in the interest of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264525
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The political economy of regulatory risk
Strausz, Roland - 2010
This paper investigates political uncertainty as a source of regulatory risk. It shows that political parties have incentives to reduce regulatory risk actively: Mutually beneficial pre-electoral agreements that reduce regulatory risk always exist. Agreements that fully eliminate it exist when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266082