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Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus
Hristov, Nikolay - 2020
We explore the effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policy on the banks' sovereign debt portfolios. In particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond holdings in response to non-standard monetary policy shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838235
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The Euro Area Periphery Sovereigns' Fiscal Positions and Unconventional Monetary Policy
Hülsewig, Oliver - 2020
We explore the reaction of the euro area periphery sovereigns' fiscal positions to an unconventional monetary policy shock. We estimate panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models over the period 2010-2018, and identify the shock by imposing sign restrictions. Our results suggest that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843420
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The Euro Crisis and Economic Growth : A Novel Counterfactual Approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019
warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone … more in the Eurozone periphery than in the standard counterfactual scenario. These results are not dictated by any specific … Eurozone's specificity, which is instead to be traced back to a sharper-than-expected contraction in investment and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042
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Coherence of Output Gaps in the Euro Area : The Impact of the COVID-19 Shock
de Haan, Jakob; Jacobs, Jan P. A. M.; Zijm, Renske - 2022
Using the measures proposed by Mink et al. (2012), we reexamine the coherence of business cycles in the euro area using a long sample period. We also analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business cycle coherence and examine whether our measures for business cycle coherence indicate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293282
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The Trade and FDI Effects of EMU Enlargement
Brouwer, J.; Paap, Richard; Viaene, Jean-Marie - 2021
This paper considers the nature and the distribution of trade and FDI effects of a potential enlargement of the European Monetary Union (EMU) to the ten countries that obtained EU membership in 2004. One-way and two-way error component gravity models are estimated using a dataset of unbalanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316812
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Macroprudential Policy and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus in the Euro Area
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Kolb, Benedikt - 2021
We explore how changes in capital-based macroprudential regulation in the euro area affect the exposure of national banking sectors to domestic government debt, thus strengthening or weakening the sovereign-bank nexus. To do so, we construct a measure of macroprudential policy based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324211
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Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Euro Area. Impacts on Loans, Employment, and Investment
Afonso, António; Gomes Pereira, Francisco - 2022
Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy on a micro panel at the bank and firm level, we study the transmission effectiveness of ECB’s large-scale asset purchasing programs programs (i.e. APP and PEPP) in the Euro area. Our findings show: first, balance sheet composition of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296738
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Euro Area House Prices and Unconventional Monetary Policy Surprises
Hülsewig, Oliver; Rottmann, Horst - 2021
This paper examines the reaction of house prices in a panel of euro area countries to monetary policy surprises over the period 2010-2019. Using Jordà’s (2005) local projection method, we find that real house prices rise in response to expansionary monetary policy shocks that can be related...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229702
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To React or Not? Fiscal Policy, Volatility and Welfare in the EU-3
Malley, Jim - 2008
This paper develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to examine the quantitative macroeconomic implications of countercyclical fiscal policy for France, Germany and the UK. The model incorporates real wage rigidity which is the particular market failure justifying policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773638
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The Economic Effects of Brexit - Evidence from the Stock Market
Breinlich, Holger - 2018
We study stock market reactions to the Brexit referendum on 23 June 2016 in order to assess investors’ expectations about the effects of leaving the European Union on the UK economy. Our results suggest that initial stock price movements were driven by fears of a cyclical downturn and by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908678