This paper compares volatility forecasts for the RTS Index (the main index for the Russian stock market) generated by … alternative models, specifically option-implied volatility forecasts based on the Black-Scholes model, ARCH/GARCH-type model … information content). Various forecasting performance tests are carried out which suggest that both implied volatility and …

describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …

1996-2007, we show that firms with higher export intensity exhibit a lower volatility of skilled labor demand relative to … the volatility of unskilled labor demand. Our identification strategy is based on an instrumental variable approach to … provide evidence on the causal effect of the export performance of the firm on the volatility of employment of different …

, and (iii) employment protection – shape fiscal multipliers and output volatility. Our theoretical model highlights that … more stringent labor market institutions attenuate both fiscal spending multipliers and macroeconomic volatility. This is …

This paper considers the problem of identification, estimation and inference in the case of spatial panel data models … errors. A quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimation procedure is developed and the conditions for identification of spatial …