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Agents forming adaptive expectations generally make systematic mistakes. This characterization has fostered the rejection of adaptive expectations in macroeconomics. Experimental evidence, however, shows that in complex environments human subjects frequently rely on adaptive heuristics –...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217385
This paper explores the dynamics of press freedom around events that threaten or oust the incumbent regime of a country. While democracies on average grant the press more freedom, our theoretical starting point is that democracies and autocracies may have similar incentives to protect the power...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908729
The optimal transition to a low-carbon economy must account for adjustment costs in switching from dirty to clean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264872
The mathematical framework of psychological game theory is useful for describing many forms of motivation where …, and self-esteem in economic analysis. We explain how and why, discussing basic theory, experiments, applied work, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834347
adjustment of the contract payment, involving adjustment costs for both players. Players? payoffs from trade under the contract … whenever the contract payment relative to the outcome of an adjustment passes a certain threshold, depending among other things … of the adjustment costs. There is strategic substitutability in the choice of thresholds, so that if one player becomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261197
This study investigates whether exchange rate flexibility aids real exchange rate adjustment based on intra-period data … produces faster or slower real exchange rate adjustment than the much less flexible official rate does. Half-life estimates of … adjustment speeds are obtained using fractional time series analysis. We find no systematic evidence that greater exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274493
We develop a simple model of managing a system subject to pollution damage under risk of an abrupt and random jump in the damage coefficient. The model allows the full dynamic characterization of the optimal emission policies under uncertainty. The results, that imply prudent behavior due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280838
Adaptation is omnipresent but people systematically fail to correctly anticipate the degree to which they adapt. This leads individuals to make inefficient intertemporal decisions. This paper concerns optimal income taxation to correct for such anticipation-biases in a framework where consumers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283632
Four types of economics" relevant for institutional analysis are distinguished: Standard Neoclassical Economics; Socio-Economics or Social Economics; New Institutional Economics; and Psychological Economics (often misleadingly called Behavioural Economics). The paper argues that an extension of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265966
This paper analyzes economic-social interaction in China in connection with the country's change of economic system. I define an economic system in terms of a multidimensional vector of broad institutional characteristics, and I emphasize that important features of the social development are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264279