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The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Ionta, Serena - 2023

We study the effect of monetary surprise shocks on real output and the price level, conditioned on different fiscal sustainability regimes in the period 2001Q4-2021Q4. First, we estimate time-varying fiscal sustainability coefficients based on Bohn’s (1998) approach through Schlicht’s (2003)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346445

Domestic Banks as Lightning Rods? Home Bias and Information During the Eurozone Crisis

Saka, Orkun - 2019

European banks have been criticized for holding excessive domestic government debt during the recent Eurozone crisis … covering the entire timeline of the Eurozone crisis, I first re-confirm that the crisis led to the reallocation of sovereign …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859050

Reforming the Euro Pragmatically : Towards Sustainable Fiscal Policy and a Revamped Eurosystem

Oksanen, Heikki - 2019

The conflicting standpoints on reforming the euro are creating more controversies than practical results. Mistrust between the participants led to short-sighted fiscal discipline that has amplified the economic disturbances. Expert analysis on the proposed reforms is often deficient as the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860367

Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus

Hristov, Nikolay - 2020

We explore the effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policy on the banks' sovereign debt portfolios. In particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond holdings in response to non-standard monetary policy shocks,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838235

The Euro Area Periphery Sovereigns' Fiscal Positions and Unconventional Monetary Policy

Hülsewig, Oliver - 2020

We explore the reaction of the euro area periphery sovereigns' fiscal positions to an unconventional monetary policy shock. We estimate panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models over the period 2010-2018, and identify the shock by imposing sign restrictions. Our results suggest that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843420

Sustainability and Solvency of Government Finances Under the Euro : Illustrations and Policy Options

Oksanen, Heikki - 2020

In this paper, sound public finances under the euro means sustainability in the long term instead of short- and medium-term fiscal discipline. The challenges to sustainability are identified for the four largest euro area member states, and several policy options for sustainability are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829317

The Euro Exchange Rate and Germany's Trade Surplus

Hohberger, Stefan - 2019

We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890627

Private Bank Deposits and Macro/Fiscal Risk in the Euro-Area

Arghyrou, Michael - 2019

We examine the relationship between private bank deposits and macro/fiscal risk in the euro area. We test three hypotheses: First, private bank deposits relative to Germany are determined by macro/fiscal risk factors. Second, this relationship is time-varying. Third, time-variation is driven by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891054

57 Channels (and Nothin on) - Does TV-News on the Eurozone Affect Government Bond Yield Spreads?

Wolfinger, Julia - 2019

news shows of leading TV stations in 12 countries which include 37,859 news on the EU, on the Eurozone and on country …-specific economic issues. We find that an increasing share of news about the Eurozone reduces yield spreads, especially when the news …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892159

Central Bank Policies and Financial Markets : Lessons from the Euro Crisis

Mody, Ashoka - 2019

The European Central Bank (ECB) took many measures to combat the eurozone’s rolling financial crisis. For providing … desperately scarce dollars to eurozone banks, the ECB relied on the U.S. Federal Reserve. Using a novel econometric framework, we … October 2009 and September 2012, the most intense phase of the eurozone crisis. Dollar liquidity clearly reduced stress in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892183

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