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COVID-Induced School Closures in the US and Germany : Long-Term Distributional Effects
Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola - 2022
dropped on average by -55% in the US and -45% in Germany from the onset of the crisis to the summer of 2021. In the US …, schools were closed longer in richer than in poorer areas, while in Germany the regional variation is much smaller. However …, Germany exhibited substantial variation by grade level, with a strong U-shaped patterns that implies that children attending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291960
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The COVID-19 Pandemic and the Degree of Persistence of US Stock Prices and Bond Yields
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A.; Poza, Carlos - 2021
This paper analyses the possible effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on the degree of persistence of US monthly stock prices and bond yields using fractional integration techniques. The model is estimated first over the period January 1966-December 2020 and then a recursive approach is taken to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235116
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The Warsaw Stock Exchange index WIG : modelling and forecasting
Wdowiński, Piotr; Zglinska-Pietrzak, Aneta - 2005
In this paper we have assessed an influence of the NYSE Stock Exchange indexes (DJIA and NASDAQ) and European Stock indexes (DAX and FTSE) on the Warsaw Stock Exchange index WIG within a framework of a GARCH model. By applying a procedure of checking predictive quality of econometric models as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277059
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The Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Markets, CDS and Economic Activity : Time-Varying Evidence from the US and Europe
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Catik, Abdurrahman Nazif; … - 2021
five European countries (the UK, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain) which have been most affected. The sample period covers …) to a one-standard-deviation shock to the number of COVID-19 cases are statistically insignificant, except for France …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211119
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Long-Run Linkages between US Stock Prices and Cryptocurrencies : A Fractional Cointegration Analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; de Dios Mazariegos, José Javier - 2022
This paper applies fractional integration and cointegration methods to examine respectively the univariate properties of the four main cryptocurrencies in terms of market capitalization (BTC, ETH, USDT, BNB) and of four US stock market indices (S&P500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones and MSCI for emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239604
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To React or Not? Fiscal Policy, Volatility and Welfare in the EU-3
Malley, Jim - 2008
implications of countercyclical fiscal policy for France, Germany and the UK. The model incorporates real wage rigidity which is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773638
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The Relationship between Prices and Output in the UK and the US
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Claudio-Quiroga, Gloria; … - 2021
This paper analyses the relationship between CPI and real GDP in both the US and the UK using fractional integration and long-range dependence techniques. All series appear to be highly trended and to exhibit high degrees of integration and persistence, especially in the case of CPI. Since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235154
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Modelling Persistence and Non-Linearities in the US Treasury 10-Year Bond Yields
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A.; Yaya, … - 2022
This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the period 1962-2021 using two different fractional integration approaches including Chebyshev polynomials and Fourier functions respectively. The results for both quarterly and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306037
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Volatility Forecasts for the RTS Stock Index : Option-Implied Volatility Versus Alternative Methods
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2019
This paper compares volatility forecasts for the RTS Index (the main index for the Russian stock market) generated by alternative models, specifically option-implied volatility forecasts based on the Black-Scholes model, ARCH/GARCH-type model forecasts, and forecasts combining those two using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871648
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The weekly structure of US stock prices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A. - 2010
In this paper we use fractional integration techniques to examine the degree of integration of four US stock market indices, namely the Standard and Poor, Dow Jones, Nasdaq and NYSE, at a daily frequency from January 2005 till December 2009. We analyse the weekly structure of the series and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274822