Showing 1 - 10 of 1,957
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to financial stability. In particular, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844423
We consolidate alternative ways for identifying stable and stressful scenarios in the S&P 500 market to construct contagion tests for recipient markets vulnerable to disturbances from this source market. The S&P 500 is decomposed into discrete conditions of: (1) Tranquil versus turbulent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843432
This paper analyzes the effects of several policy instruments to mitigate financial bubbles generated in the banking sector. We augment a New Keynesian macroeconomic framework by endogenizing boundedly-rational expectations on asset values of loan portfolios and allow for interbank trading. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892165
endogenous aggregate risk. This risk induces an endogenous regime-switching process for output, the risk-free rate, excess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825400
We examine the dynamic effects and empirical role of TFP news shocks in the context of frictions in financial markets. We document two new facts using VAR methods. First, a (positive) shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in various credit spread indicators considered in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314862
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world industrial production to simulate the effects of the jump in financial uncertainty observed in correspondence of the Covid-19 outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834352
first-order approximated solution built by perturbation methods accounts for risk. We show that risk matters economically in … a real business cycle (RBC) model with habit formation and capital adjustment costs and that neglecting risk leads to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834991
We argue that risk sharing motivates the bank-wide structure of bonus pay. In the presence of financial frictions that … make external financing costly, the optimal contract between shareholders and employees involves some degree of risk … to rationalize with incentive theories of bonus pay - but support an important risk sharing motive. In particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892088
What are the incentives for governments to coordinate their policies internationally when there is model disagreement and uncertainty? We build a model where countries disagree on policy targets and how policies affect the economies, and show that uncertainty not only determines the type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892108
uninsured capital income risk, and suffer from an information-processing capacity constraint. For given attention devoted to … capital income risk, we solve for the optimal consumption-saving choices and show that the expected welfare is increasing with … capacity, assuming a relative risk aversion degree larger than unity. Furthermore, we solve for attention choice and find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892117