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Backlash in Attitudes after the Election of Extreme Political Parties
Carlsson, Magnus - 2018
from the right and one from the left, using panel data from 290 municipal election districts. To identify causal effects … incumbency advantage in the next election. Exploring possible mechanisms, we find evidence that when the anti-immigrant party … wins a marginal seat, they experience higher levels of politician turnover before the next election and receive negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908687
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Measuring the Competitiveness of Elections
Cox, Gary W. - 2019
The concept of electoral competition plays a central role in many subfields of political science, but no consensus exists on how to measure it. One key challenge is how to conceptualize and measure electoral competitiveness at the district level across alternative electoral systems. Recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892168
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Vote Buying in the US Congress
Matter, Ulrich - 2019
We assess the influence of moneyed interests on legislative decisions. Our theory predicts that the vote outcome distribution and donation flows in a legislature feature a discontinuity at the approval threshold of bills if special interest groups are involved in vote buying. Testing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861433
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Gender Differences in Political Career Progression : Evidence from U.S. Elections
Brown, Ryan - 2019
election relative to an analogous impact for men who closely win or lose a state legislature election. We find that the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861450
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Voting Advice Applications and Elections
Benesch, Christine; Heim, Rino; Schelker, Mark; Schmid, … - 2021
We analyze how the introduction of the voting advice application (VAA) smartvote affects voter turnout, voting behavior and electoral outcomes. The Swiss context offers an ideal setting to identify the causal effects of online information with aggregate real world data because smartvote was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249647
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The Gender Recontest Gap in Elections
Baskaran, Thushyanthan; Hessami, Zohal - 2022
This paper documents an important but mostly overlooked reason for female underrepresentation in politics: gender gaps in the recontest likelihood of candidates. Using hand-collected data on 116,185 candidates in four consecutive local council elections (2001-2016) in a German state, we provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293281
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Read My Lips? Taxes and Elections
Fuest, Clemens; Gründler, Klaus; Potrafke, Niklas; … - 2021
We introduce a new dataset that includes quantitative harmonized indices of tax reforms based on qualitative information of about 900 Economic Surveys from the OECD and 37,000 tax-related news from the IBFD archives. The data set provides indicators on tax reforms for tax rates and tax bases,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314686
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Electoral Cycles in Macroeconomic Forecasts
Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2021
This paper documents the existence of Political Forecast Cycles. In a theoretical model of political selection, we show that governments release overly optimistic GDP growth forecasts ahead of elections to increase the reelection probability. The bias arises from lack of commitment if voters are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226657
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Gender Gaps in Political Careers : Evidence from Competitive Elections
Cipullo, Davide - 2021
This paper investigates the impact of voter support on the representation of women in the political profession. The empirical analysis exploits two-stage elections in the United States and Italy to hold the selection of candidates constant. In two-stage elections, candidates are admitted to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227610
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We Were the Robots : Automation and Voting Behavior in Western Europe
Anelli, Massimo - 2019
2016. We employ both official election results at the district level and individual-level voting data, combined with party …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865699