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The importance of units with pervasive impacts on a large number of other units in a network has become increasingly recognized in the literature. In this paper we propose a new method to detect such influential or dominant units by basing our analysis on unit-specific residual error variances...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892182
, especially in the presence of serial correlation in the error term, contrary to alternative test statistics. Empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316613
This paper empirically investigates the relationship between TV news coverage and the GIIPS countries’ bond yield spreads using daily data between January 1, 2007 and December 1, 2016. We employ 1,542,233 human coded news items from evening news shows of leading TV stations in 12 countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892159
Interest rates are central determinants of saving and investment decisions. Costly financial intermediation distort these price signals by creating a spread between the interest rates on deposits and loans with substantial effects on the supply of funds and the demand for credit. This study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830109
How do short and long term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962-2018. The state-of-the-art financial uncertainty measure proposed by Ludvigson, Ma, and Ng (2019) is found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867014
We build a no-arbitrage model of the yield curves in a heterogeneous monetary union with sovereign default risk, which can account for the asymmetric shifts in euro area yields during the Covid-19 pandemic. We derive an affine term structure solution, and decompose yields into term premium and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080055
conceptualize our arguments in a theoretical model of policy preference changes rooted in cognitive dissonance theory. A pre …-registered, online experiment with 1,200 U.S. participants confirms our main hypotheses. As predicted by cognitive dissonance theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306851
contracts. Theory shows that the possibility of default on a long-term lease generates a risk/lease-length connection. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014263217
show that when the growth process exhibits such a positive serial correlation, then the yield curve is decreasing if the … is proposed for the concept of second-degree stochastic correlation, as observed for example in the Cox …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261120
This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266074