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nowcasting and forecasting quarterly world GDP using mixed-frequency models. We find that a recently proposed indicator that … use this indicator to track the evolution of the nowcasts for the US, the OECD area, and the world economy during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315045
contributes to innovation in source countries. We use changes in the labour mobility legislation within Europe as exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892171
, we use a free and instantaneous available source of leading indicators, the ifo World Economic Survey (WES), to forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867868
This paper uses R/S analysis and fractional integration techniques to examine the persistence of two sets of 12 ESG and conventional stock price indices from the MSCI database over the period 2007-2020 for a large number of both developed and emerging markets. Both sets of results imply that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225332
examine this prediction using a new measure of economic uncertainty, the World Uncertainty Index and focus on data from 126 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231969
COVID-19 hit firms by surprise. In a high frequency, representative panel of German firms, the business outlook declined and business uncertainty increased only when the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic led to domestic policy changes: The announcement of nation-wide school closures on March 13...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828112
and Wiley on the other side facilitate easy open access publishing for researchers located in Germany. We use a dataset of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236277
influential in recent policy discussions. It notes potentially important features of the real- world environment that the standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833728
We estimate Okun's law, the negative relationship between output and the unemployment rate, at the sector level for the US, the UK, Japan, and Switzerland to test several hypotheses that may explain why the aggregate Okun's coeffcients are different across countries. Specifically, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841145
Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841745