Showing 1 - 10 of 1,885
rationality that we estimate prevent the economy from falling into indeterminacy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866811
rationality can affect effort provision, by shrouding attributes of the incentives. In our setting, complexity leads workers to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346847
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model with new and old behavioral elements. Agents in the model exhibit cognitive discounting, or myopia: they discount variables far into the future at higher rates than typically implied in the benchmark model. We investigate the model under different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229788
deviation (in beliefs, utility, or perceived prices) is within e of expected utility theory. The number e can then be used as a … distance to the theory. We apply our methodology to three recent large-scale experiments. Many subjects in those experiments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892237
This paper presents novel evidence for the prevalence of deviations from rational behavior in human decision making – and for the corresponding causes and consequences. The analysis is based on move-by-move data from chess tournaments and an identification strategy that compares behavior of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831655
The weak rationality principle is not an empirical statement but a heuristic rule of how to proceed in social sciences …-foundation and, therefore, employ the rationality assumption in economic models. Then, with reference to the ?bounded rationality … a part of the rationality assumption. We conclude with some remarks on handling the problems of ?free will? as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272873
We develop a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one. This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble one. In a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261158
It is common to analyze the effects of alternative monetary policy commitments under the assumption of fully model-consistent expectations. This implicitly assumes unrealistic cognitive abilities on the part of economic decision makers. The relevant question, however, is not whether the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887368
We formulate a simple quantum decision model of the Ellsberg paradox. We report the results of an experiment we performed to test the matching probabilities predicted by this model using an incentive compatible method. We find that the theoretical predictions of the model are in conformity with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887418
This paper analyzes a recent ballot in which two virtually identical popular initiatives, both demanding a decrease in the legal age of retirement in Switzerland, led to differences in approval rates of nearly seven percentage points. Based on this unique natural experiment, the existence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264086