We study a segmented-markets setting in which self-fulfilling volatility can arise. The only requirements are (i) asset … valuation ratios stationary (e.g., cash flow growth rises when valuations rise). We prove that when self-fulfilling volatility … susceptible to self-fulfilling fluctuations. The tight theoretical connection between price volatility and arbitrage is detectable …

The arbitrage pricing theory (APT) attributes differences in expected returns to exposure to systematic risk factors …

conceptualize our arguments in a theoretical model of policy preference changes rooted in cognitive dissonance theory. A pre …-registered, online experiment with 1,200 U.S. participants confirms our main hypotheses. As predicted by cognitive dissonance theory …

contracts. Theory shows that the possibility of default on a long-term lease generates a risk/lease-length connection. The …

policy is purely to stabilize output or debt volatility, then our results suggest substantial reductions can be obtained …, especially with respect to output. In stark contrast, however, a formal general equilibrium welfare assessment of the volatility …