Showing 1 - 10 of 1,148
Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when quarterly economic growth for Germany becomes available. We use the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260700
do so, I employ an open-economy time-varying parameter VAR with stochastic volatility, which I estimate by quasi … over time. German trend inflation has strongly decreased and settled at a historically low level. GDP growth volatility … shocks and the shock propagation processes. Thus, I conclude that business cycle stabilization in Germany is driven by both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214330
We investigate the sources of the great changes in GDP volatility observed from 1966 to 2000. We develop a general …-sectoral linkages and households' behavior to aggregate volatility. Our results show that changes in sectoral volatility played an … important role in shaping volatility at the aggregate level. Moreover, asymmetries in the economic structure sometimes had an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892302
exert a volatility amplifying effect, depending on the currency of denomination and the cyclicality of the borrower … consumption volatility of low- and middle-income countries. On constructing the debt-weighted effective exchange rates, we examine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833738
This paper revisits the well-known VAR evidence on the real effects of uncertainty shocks by Bloom (Econometrica 2009(3): 623-685. doi: 10.3982/ECTA6248). We replicate the results in a narrow sense using Eviews. In a wide sense, we extend his study by working with a smooth transition-VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824829
smooth their domestic consumption; however, it can also amplify volatility in consumption, depending on the currency in which … external debt portfolios, exchange rate cyclicality, and volatility in consumption of low- and middle-income countries. Since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241998
, and (iii) employment protection – shape fiscal multipliers and output volatility. Our theoretical model highlights that … more stringent labor market institutions attenuate both fiscal spending multipliers and macroeconomic volatility. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083477
This paper documents a comparative application of algorithms to deal with the problem of missing values in higher frequency data sets. We refer to Swiss business tendency survey (BTS) data which are conducted in both monthly and quarterly frequency, where an information sub-set is collected at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262560
A large literature suggests that the expected equity risk premium is countercyclical. Using a variety of different measures for this risk premium, we document that it also exhibits growth asymmetry, i.e. the risk premium rises sharply in recessions and declines much more gradually during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858207
Mortality and economic contraction during the 1918-1920 Great Influenza Epidemic provide plausible upper bounds for outcomes under the coronavirus (COVID-19). Data for 43 countries imply flu-related deaths in 1918-1920 of 39 million, 2.0 percent of world population, implying 150 million deaths...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839262