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experiment of the past decade, stemming from a belief of the government that higher interest rates cause higher inflation … eventually a negative coefficient on inflation in the policy rule. In such an environment, was the exchange rate still a random … walk? Was inflation anchored? Does the “standard model” suffice to explain the broad contours of macroeconomic outcomes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083478
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model with new and old behavioral elements. Agents in the model exhibit cognitive discounting, or myopia: they discount variables far into the future at higher rates than typically implied in the benchmark model. We investigate the model under different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229788
We estimate a Heterogeneous-Agent New Keynesian model with sticky household expectations that matches existing microeconomic evidence on marginal propensities to consume and macroeconomic evidence on the impulse response to a monetary policy shock. Our estimated model uncovers a central role for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842965
rational private sector expectations about housing prices and inflation, optimal monetary policy can be characterized by a … standard 'target criterion' that refers to inflation and the output gap, without making reference to housing prices. When the … increases (decreases), policy should adopt a stance that is projected to undershoot (overshoot) its normal targets for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840227
How should central banks optimally aggregate sectoral inflation rates in the presence of imperfect labor mobility … mobility, ceteris paribus, increases the optimal weight on inflation in a sector that would otherwise receive a lower weight … computing sectoral inflation weights based solely on sector size, and unveil a significant role for the degree of sectoral labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315148
We derive closed-form solutions and sufficient statistics for inflation and GDP dynamics in multi-sector New Keynesian … of inflation and GDP responses to monetary and sectoral shocks and (2) increase the pass-through of sectoral shocks to … aggregate inflation. Quantitatively, we confirm the significant role of production networks in shock propagation, emphasizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356604
The resurgence of inflation since the late 2021 is now accompanied by a reversal of prospects of growth, reviving fears … prominent role is played by the fall of households' purchasing power, and hence consumption, owing to the inflation shock visà … inflation surprises, independent of restrictive monetary policy, is not present in the standard New Keynesian models for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262559
Every monetary policy decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is accompanied by a written statement about the state of the economy and the policy outlook, but only every second decision by a published interest rate forecast. We exploit this difference to study the relative influences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892035
a fixed policy rate. This policy induces similar welfare losses relative to dual-instrument policy as inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357043
This paper examines the role of central bank governors in monetary policy decisions taken by a committee. To carry out this analysis, we constructed a novel dataset of committee voting behaviour for six OECD countries for up to three decades. Using a range of Taylor-rule specifications, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861451