Showing 1 - 10 of 2,471
rational private sector expectations about housing prices and inflation, optimal monetary policy can be characterized by a … standard 'target criterion' that refers to inflation and the output gap, without making reference to housing prices. When the … increases (decreases), policy should adopt a stance that is projected to undershoot (overshoot) its normal targets for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840227
We estimate a Heterogeneous-Agent New Keynesian model with sticky household expectations that matches existing microeconomic evidence on marginal propensities to consume and macroeconomic evidence on the impulse response to a monetary policy shock. Our estimated model uncovers a central role for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842965
How should central banks optimally aggregate sectoral inflation rates in the presence of imperfect labor mobility … mobility, ceteris paribus, increases the optimal weight on inflation in a sector that would otherwise receive a lower weight … computing sectoral inflation weights based solely on sector size, and unveil a significant role for the degree of sectoral labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315148
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model with new and old behavioral elements. Agents in the model exhibit cognitive discounting, or myopia: they discount variables far into the future at higher rates than typically implied in the benchmark model. We investigate the model under different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229788
How much does inequality matter for the business cycle and vice versa? Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a heterogeneous-agent New-Keynesian (HANK) model with incomplete markets and portfolio choice between liquid and illiquid assets. The model enlarges the set of shocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841741
We derive closed-form solutions and sufficient statistics for inflation and GDP dynamics in multi-sector New Keynesian … of inflation and GDP responses to monetary and sectoral shocks and (2) increase the pass-through of sectoral shocks to … aggregate inflation. Quantitatively, we confirm the significant role of production networks in shock propagation, emphasizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356604
The resurgence of inflation since the late 2021 is now accompanied by a reversal of prospects of growth, reviving fears … prominent role is played by the fall of households' purchasing power, and hence consumption, owing to the inflation shock visà … inflation surprises, independent of restrictive monetary policy, is not present in the standard New Keynesian models for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262559
a fixed policy rate. This policy induces similar welfare losses relative to dual-instrument policy as inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357043
This note examines the stochastic behaviour of US monthly 10-year government bond yields. Specifically, it estimates a fractional integration model suitable to capture both persistence and non-linearities, these being two important properties of interest rates. Two series are analysed, one from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314848
Central banks unexpectedly tightening policy rates often observe the exchange value of their currency depreciate, rather than appreciate as predicted by standard models. We document this for Fed and ECB policy days using eventstudies and ask whether an information effect, where the public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822502