Showing 91 - 100 of 367
ante risk assessment and derive risk premia for every balance sheet item where liabilities are differentiated according to … priority rights. We find that risk premia reflect both idiosyncratic risk and risk of contagion (network risk). Moreover, we … show that network risk magnifies the gap between the risk premia of equity and debt. We also perform comparative statics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241311
We employ a mixed-frequency quantile regression approach to model the time-varying conditional distribution of the US real GDP growth rate. We show that monthly information on the US financial cycle improves the predictive power of an otherwise quarterly-only model. We combine selected quantiles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242149
prices experience a decline due to lower demand caused by the rising uncertainty, while those with sticky prices experience …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014345933
of savings, precautionary savings, loss aversion, and risk. We provide the relevant theory, followed by empirical tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346247
We estimate a novel measure of global financial uncertainty (GFU) with a dynamic factor framework that jointly models global, regional, and country-specific factors. We quantify the impact of GFU shocks on global output with a VAR analysis that achieves set-identification via a combination of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246469
In this paper, we conduct an empirical study of how uncertainty alters fertility behavior. The precautionary motive for saving predicts that an increase in income uncertainty increases saving by reducing both consumption and fertility. We examine this prediction using a new measure of economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231969
We compare health system responses to the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic in Italy and Spain. In both countries, healthcare is managed at the regional level, but the central government behaved differently in the uncertainty surrounding the first wave, leaving more autonomy to regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233144
experiment with 743 subjects whether small-scale, seemingly negligible, events also affect the formation of risk preferences. In … line with a reinforcement learning model, we find that subjects who won a random lottery took significantly more risk in a … was played more than three years after the first lottery. So, small-scale, random, events affect the formation of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214336
low display more tolerance towards risk in a subsequent incentivized lottery task. This effect is mainly driven by … individuals who more firmly believe that life outcomes are beyond their control. This interaction between risk preferences and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215212
derive a general analytic formula for the “risk premium” governing the resulting climate policy. The formula generalizes … making under uncertainty. It clarifies the distinct roles of risk aversion, prudence, characteristics of the damage … formulation, and future policy response. We show that an optimal response to uncertainty substantially reduces the risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217086