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Have Capital Market Anomalies Worldwide Attenuated in the Recent Era of High Liquidity and Trading Activity?

Auer, Benjamin R. - 2018

We revisit and extend the study by Chordia et al. (2014) which documents that, in recent years, increased liquidity has significantly decreased exploitable returns of capital market anomalies in the US. Using a novel international dataset of arbitrage portfolio returns for four well-known...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908691

Volatility Forecasts for the RTS Stock Index : Option-Implied Volatility Versus Alternative Methods

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2019

This paper compares volatility forecasts for the RTS Index (the main index for the Russian stock market) generated by … alternative models, specifically option-implied volatility forecasts based on the Black-Scholes model, ARCH/GARCH-type model … information content). Various forecasting performance tests are carried out which suggest that both implied volatility and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871648

The Frequency of One-Day Abnormal Returns and Price Fluctuations in the Forex

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2020

This paper analyses the explanatory power of the frequency of abnormal returns in the FOREX for the EURUSD, GBRUSD, USDJPY, EURJPY, GBPCHF, AUDUSD and USDCAD exchange rates over the period 1994-2019. Abnormal returns are detected using a dynamic trigger approach; then the following hypotheses...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837673

Predictability of Bull and Bear Markets : A New Look at Forecasting Stock Market Regimes (and Returns) in the Us

Haase, Felix; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2021

The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250734

Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty : Evidence Based on Us Data

Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2019

How do short and long term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962-2018. The state-of-the-art financial uncertainty measure proposed by Ludvigson, Ma, and Ng (2019) is found...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867014

What Drives Inventory Accumulation? News on Rates of Return and Marginal Costs

Görtz, Christoph - 2019

inventories react strongly and positively to news about future increases in total factor productivity. Theory suggests that the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860577

Redistribution of Return Inequality

Schulz, Karl - 2021

Wealthier households obtain higher returns on their investments than poorer ones. How should the tax system account for this return inequality? I study capital taxation in an economy in which return rates endogenously correlate with wealth. The leading example is a financial market, where the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233147

Optimal Taxation of Capital Income with Heterogeneous Rates of Return

Gerritsen, Aart - 2020

There is increasing empirical evidence that people systematically differ in their rates of return on capital. We derive optimal non-linear taxes on labor and capital income in the presence of such return heterogeneity. We allow for two distinct reasons why returns are heterogeneous: because...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829320

To React or Not? Fiscal Policy, Volatility and Welfare in the EU-3

Malley, Jim - 2008

policy is purely to stabilize output or debt volatility, then our results suggest substantial reductions can be obtained …, especially with respect to output. In stark contrast, however, a formal general equilibrium welfare assessment of the volatility …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773638

Bitcoin Fluctuations and the Frequency of Price Overreactions

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2019

This paper investigates the role of the frequency of price overreactions in the cryptocurrency market in the case of BitCoin over the period 2013-2018. Specifically, it uses a static approach to detect overreactions and then carries out hypothesis testing by means of a variety of statistical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892294

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