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done on a panel of 103 countries over the period 1979–2016. We find that in the five years following a large earthquake (i …) countries exposed accumulate reserves, for precautionary reasons, (ii) trade openness is positively associated with the post-earthquake …/or inflation targeting regimes, and (iv) the patterns of reserves holding post-earthquake vary with a country’s income level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315174
Climate change is already increasing the severity of extreme weather events such as with rainfall during hurricanes. But no research to date investigates if, and to what extent, there are social inequalities in current climate change-attributed flood impacts. Here, we use climate change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314666
The aim of this paper is to investigate the exchange rate consequences of oil-price fluctuations and to test for the dynamics of oil price volatility by examining interactions between oil market and exchange rate in selected MENA countries (Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908723
shock has a considerable impact on most economies in the world, especially when a share of the labor force is quarantined … networks. In this paper we incorporate production barriers induced by COVID-19 shock into a Ricardian model with sectoral … of the disruption in production that started in China and then quickly spread across the world. We find that the COVID-19 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837986
Oil market VAR models have become the standard tool for understanding the evolution of the real price of oil and its impact in the macro economy. As this literature has expanded at a rapid pace, it has become increasingly difficult for mainstream economists to understand the differences between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839764
(in contrast to final goods trade) in transmitting the shock. In a hypothetical world without GVCs, the welfare loss due … with input-output linkages to gauge the effects of this adverse supply shock in China on the global economy through … countries even gain from the shock due to trade diversion. As a key methodological contribution, we quantify the role of GVCs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315297
Are land locked countries subject to sea-level rise risk? We highlight a new mechanism by which physical climate shocks affects countries’ macro-financial performance: the cross-border spillover effects that propagate through international trade. Basing our findings on historical data between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357033
. The MP links significantly amplified the impact of these shocks on the rest of the world, which had a much greater impact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358332
There has been much interest in the relationship between the price of crude oil, the value of the U.S. dollar, and the U.S. interest rate since the 1980s. For example, the sustained surge in the real price of oil in the 2000s is often attributed to the declining real value of the U.S. dollar as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892101
Under fixed exchange rates, fiscal policy is an effective tool. According to classical views because it impacts the real exchange rate, according to Keynesian views because it impacts output. Both views have merit because the effects of government spending are asymmetric. A spending cut lowers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859987