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Incentives, Search Engines, and the Elicitation of Subjective Beliefs : Evidence from Representative Online Survey Experiments

Grewenig, Elisabeth - 2019

A large literature studies subjective beliefs about economic facts using unincentivized survey questions. We devise randomized experiments in a representative online survey to investigate whether incentivizing belief accuracy affects stated beliefs about average earnings by professional degree...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890194

Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk-Adjustments?

Adam, Klaus - 2019

Motivated by the observation that survey expectations of stock returns are inconsistent with rational return expectations under real-world probabilities, we investigate whether alternative expectations hypotheses entertained in the asset pricing literature are consistent with the survey...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892287

Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios

Giglio, Stefano - 2019

We administer a newly-designed survey to a large panel of retail investors who have substantial wealth invested in financial markets. The survey elicits beliefs that are crucial for macroeconomics and finance, and matches respondents with administrative data on their portfolio composition and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866380

Limited Self-Knowledge and Survey Response Behavior

Falk, Armin; Neuber, Thomas; Strack, Philipp - 2021

We study response behavior in surveys and show how the explanatory power of self-reports can be improved. First, we develop a choice model of survey response behavior under the assumption that the respondent has imperfect self-knowledge about her individual characteristics. In panel data, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219070

Using Machine Learning and Qualitative Interviews to Design a Five-Question Women's Agency Index

Jayachandran, Seema; Biradavolu, Monica; Cooper, Jan - 2021

measure agency for 209 women in Haryana, India, first, through a semi-structured interview and, second, through a large set of … close-ended questions. We use qualitative coding methods to score each woman’s agency based on the interview, which we treat … resulting five-question index is as strongly correlated with the coded qualitative interview as is an index that uses all of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235120

Time Variation in Lifecycle Consumption and Income

Aksoy, Yunus - 2020

We document systematic and significant time variation in US lifecycle non-durable consumption profiles. Consumption profiles have consistently become flatter: differences in consumption across generations have decreased. Pooling data across different periods to identify lifecycle profiles masks...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839357

Gender Norms and Income Misreporting within Households

Roth, Anja - 2019

We show that the discontinuity in the distribution of surveyed female income shares at the margin where a woman would outearn her partner is primarily driven by norm induced misreporting in surveys. We draw on unique Swiss data combining survey and administrative information for the same...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892274

Stimulant or Depressant? Resource-Related Income Shocks and Conflict

Gehring, Kai - 2019

We provide evidence about the mechanisms linking resource-related income shocks to conflict. Combining temporal variation in international drug prices with spatial variation in the suitability to produce opium, we show that higher drug prices reduce conflict over the 2002-2014 period in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860581

Alternatives to Paying Child Benefit to the Rich : Means Testing or Higher Tax?

Apps, Patricia F. - 2020

Transferring public benefits to people in no need of them appears to be a waste of public money. Thus, there seems to be support for a move away from universal child benefits and towards means testing. This study presents a critique of this overly-simplistic view and proposes a very simple...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828975

Parental Resources and College Attendance : Evidence from Lottery Wins

Bulman, George; Fairlie, Robert W.; Goodman, Sarena; … - 2021

We examine U.S. children whose parents won the lottery to trace out the effect of financial resources on college attendance. The analysis leverages federal tax and financial aid records and substantial variation in win size and timing. While per-dollar effects are modest, the relationship is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314809

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