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municipalities crowds out private investment. Our results show how crowding out can happen in a developed economy characterized by … market power to charge higher rates on their SME customers. This crowded out firm investment. Perversely, fiscal … which increasingly borrowed from local public banks. Crowding out lowered aggregate private investment by around 30-40 bio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177530
We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555555
This document describes and discusses a new supply side framework that quantifies the impact of structural reforms on per capita income in OECD countries. It presents the overall macroeconomic impacts of reforms by aggregating over the effects on physical capital, employment and productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657141
For a long time, China’s impressive growth performance has been driven by investment and high productivity gains. Based … sustainability of China’s investment- and export-driven growth model. It is shown that since the turn of the millennium buoyant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018333
This paper looks at the extent to which the shift in the lower value added production to countries in the following development “tier” is actually becoming a reality. Several countries in East Asia have been upgrading production patterns and moving up the value chain, this paper looks at how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931944
Since the recovery from the great financial crisis in 2010, global real trade flows grew much slower than pre-crisis, in both absolute terms (growth rates) and relative terms (relative to GDP, from 2:1 in the great 1990’s to 1:1 since 2012) A debate has arisen as to whether this global trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931978
When investment is irreversible, theory suggests that firms will be "reluctant to invest." This reluctance creates a … wedge between the discount rate guiding investment decisions and the standard Jorgensonian user cost (adjusted for risk). We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264335
firms in making their investment decisions. We use a revealed preference approach that relies on the pattern of investment … spending - combined with investment theory - to estimate the discount rates used by managers. The standard story predicts that … firms with high stock prices and good investment opportunities should have discount rates that do not differ systematically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274896
model features irreversible investment, no capital markets and fixed and sunk costs to export. Several features of the … distribution of investment rates and export participation patterns observed in firm-level data are closely matched in a calibration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274958
, resulted in lower investment, employment, and bank debt for younger and smaller firms. Importantly, these effects dominate … those of banks’ balance-sheet variables. We also show that higher CDS spreads led to lower aggregate investment, employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431206