Showing 1 - 10 of 293
We compare preferences for temporal resolution when uncertainty is resolved over a probability rather than a value. In … whether values or probabilities define the main object of uncertainty. In our experiment, however, most subjects resolved … motivates an explanation for it that we call "process utility", which highlights the importance of information processing when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534430
of the probability of a horse winning - longshots are overbet, while favorites are underbet. Neoclassical explanations of … misperceptions of probability drive the favorite-longshot bias, as suggested by Prospect Theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276786
experts predict a large effect and when statistical uncertainty is communicated with p-values rather than standard errors. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013353388
Using a probability-based sample of the Norwegian population, we test whether an informational treatment about fewer … program designed to save jobs and prevent bankruptcies. The information treatment significantly reduces support for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013427711
-landfall federal protective expenditures exponentially increase with the forecast wind speed and with the degree of uncertainty about … contribution is to develop a new theoretically-grounded approach for estimating the marginal value of information and we apply it … to establish the social value of improving hurricane forecasts. On the margin, the value of hurricane information is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470308
misperceive the performance of their state's education system. Experimentally providing performance information polarizes citizens …' political satisfaction between high- and low-performing states and increases their demand for greater transparency of states …' educational performance. Parliamentarians' support for the transparency policy is opportunistic: Performance information increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290202
How do households adjust their spending behavior in response to changes in home price expectations? We conduct a field experiment with a sample of Americans that links survey data on home price expectations to actual spending behaviour as measured in a rich home-scanner dataset. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377425
This paper provides experimental evidence on the electoral effect of a large education reform in a developing democracy. Despite significantly improving school quality, the policy reduced the incumbent party's presidential vote share by 3 percentage points (10%). This does not imply that voters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377607
Attention is a pivotal resource in the modern economy and plays an increasingly prominent role in economic analysis. We summarize research on attention from both psychology and economics, placing a particular emphasis on its capacity to explain numerous documented violations of classical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469341
automation risk of their occupation, especially those in high-automatability occupations. Randomized information about their … in their work environment. The information also increases willingness to participate in further training, especially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469494