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We estimate the causal impact of countercyclical interest rates on macroeconomic outcomes in open economies. To identify countercyclical interest rates, we construct a new database of short-term interest rates, principal exports, and international commodity prices for 40 economies from 1870 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013266681
We estimate the causal impact of countercyclical interest rates on macroeconomic outcomes in open economies. To identify countercyclical interest rates, we construct a new database of short-term interest rates, principal exports, and international commodity prices for 40 economies from 1870 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291318
This paper investigates whether gold and silver can be considered safe havens by examining their long-run linkages with 22 stock price indices. More specifically, the stochastic properties of the differential between gold/silver prices and 22 stock indices are analysed applying fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241989
show that growth is higher if the debt to GDP ratio is below 60 % compared to values above it. Moreover, a comparison with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584860
This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt … for a universally applicable threshold effect in the relationship between public debt and economic growth, once we account … negative long-run effects of public debt build-up on output growth. Provided that public debt is on a downward trajectory, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307102
I analyze how lack of commitment affects the maturity structure of sovereign debt. Governments balance benefits of …-term debt affects default and rollover decisions by subsequent policy makers. The equilibrium maturity structure is shaped by … revenue losses on inframarginal units of debt that reflect the price impact of these decisions. The model predicts an interior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264518
During the last three decades there has been an almost continuous undermining of the public interest by private interests operating either outside or inside Greek public administration. The result of this infiltration has been a gradual loss of bureaucratic autonomy to pursue the public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270514
This paper investigates the long-run effects of public debt and inflation on economic growth. Our contribution is both … over the 1965-2010 period, we find significant negative long-run effects of public debt and inflation on growth. Our … results indicate that, if the debt to GDP ratio is raised and this increase turns out to be permanent, then it will have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328717
's production side and on welfare, but not on its stock of foreign debt and the country specific risk premium, and large part of the … dynamics and a considerable reduction in foreign debt, allowing higher consumption in the long run and creating an … intertemporal welfare gain, even though unemployment increases strongly in the short run. A 50% haircut of foreign debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274776
By granting intracompany loans to their foreign affiliates, multinational firms may reduce their tax liability abroad. Many countries have legislated thin-capitalization rules (TCRs) that limit the allowable levels of intracompany loans or restrict interest deductibility if certain thresholds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277188