Showing 1 - 10 of 300
to the stock-flow approach and augmenting the monetary model with share prices and the country risk premium improves … commodity prices do not help explain the large depreciations. While these models do a reasonably good job in-sample, their out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283582
We find that productivity gains in tradables cause an appreciation of the real exchange rate via both tradable and … nontradable prices in the CEE-5 and have no affect in the Baltic countries, while they lead to a depreciation of the real exchange … rate of tradables in OECD economies that overcompensates the appreciation due to nontradable prices. Rising net foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264076
The financial crisis of 2007-2008 had major implications for the foreign exchange market. We review events and implications for exchange rates, volatility, returns to currency investing, and transaction costs. This blow-by-blow" narrative is intended to be a resource for researchers seeking a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266026
Fiscal deficits, elevated debt-to-GDP ratios, and high inflation rates suggest hyperinflation could have potentially emerged in many European countries after World War I. We demonstrate that economic policy uncertainty was instrumental in pushing a subset of European countries into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872123
Historical data for over hundred years and 14 countries is used to estimate the long-run effect of productivity on the … real exchange rate. We find large variations in the productivity effect across four distinct monetary regimes in the sample … argue that changes in trade costs over time may affect the impact of productivity on the real exchange rate over time. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398573
We use the elements of a macroeconomic production function—physical capital, human capital, labor, and technology … development. It affects human capital through both religious and secular education. It affects population and labor by influencing … work effort, fertility, and the demographic transition. And it affects total factor productivity by constraining or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469796
This paper describes and analyzes automated intervention of a target zone. Unusually detailed information about the order book allows studying intervention effects in a microstructure approach. We find in our sample that intervention increases exchange rate volatility (and spread) for the next...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264306
Previous assessments of nominal exchange rate determination have focused upon a narrow set of models typically of the 1970's vintage, including monetary and portfolio balance models. In this paper we re-assess the in-sample fit and out-of-sample prediction of a wider set of models that have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315804
capacity utilization. Violence acts as a negative blue-collar labor supply shock, leading to significant increase in skill …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932095
We investigate theoretically and empirically the role of wholesalers in mediating the productivity effects of trade … liberalization. Intermediaries provide indirect access to foreign produced inputs. The productivity effects of input tariff cuts on … firms experience productivity gains from reducing input tariffs if trade intermediation of foreign inputs within their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857766