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Fiscal policy has become quite controversial in the post-Keynesian era, the debate over the Obama stimulus package … meaningfully progress in terms of providing useful recommendations for policy-makers, particularly in times of recession. Others …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139182
For a sample of sixteen OECD countries over the period 1980-2007 we show that, for given debt-GDP ratio, an increase in the maturity of the public debt by one year lowers its long-term interest rate by around 20-30 basis points. This effect is stronger for countries with higher average inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323031
Rather than stabilising aggregate demand, discretionary fiscal policy tends to amplify cyclical fluctuations of output. The commonly accepted reasons are political economy and uncertainty. In the EU, the pro-cyclical nature of discretionary fiscal policy has also been associated with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315041
unemployment and its duration distribution. Using the SIPP, we document the relation between workers' (gross and net) occupational … mobility and unemployment duration over the long run and business cycle. To interpret this evidence, we develop an analytically … countercyclical net occupational mobility, the large volatility of unemployment and the cyclical properties of the unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833736
We estimate Okun's law, the negative relationship between output and the unemployment rate, at the sector level for the … coefficients are proportional to the aggregate in all four countries. We also show that the standard deviation of unemployment is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841145
hence in the U.S. price of gasoline after June 2014. Our analysis suggests that this decline produced a cumulative stimulus … investment and an additional stimulus of 0.04 percentage points reflecting a shrinking petroleum trade deficit. This stimulating … effect, however, has been largely offset by a large reduction in real investment by the oil sector. Hence, the net stimulus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615877
The transmission of oil price shocks has been a question of central interest in macroeconomics since the 1970s. There has been renewed interest in this question after the large and persistent fall in the real price of oil in 2014-16. In the context of this debate, Ramey (2017) makes the striking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615924
This paper presents a reappraisal of unemployment movements in the European Union. Our analysis is based on the chain … reaction theory of unemployment, which focuses on (a) the interaction among labor market adjustment processes, (b) the … growth drivers. Estimating a system of labor market equations for a panel of EU countries, we derive the dynamic unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276423
-generations framework we show that in an environment characterized by unemployment, a reform towards a private pension system in the steady …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261116
We study empirically how various labor market institutions – (i) union density, (ii) unemployment benefit remuneration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083477