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Integrated assessment models (IAMs) provide key inputs to decision-makers on economically efficient climate policies, and technical change is one of the key assumptions in any IAM that estimates mitigation costs. We conduct a systematic survey of how technical change is currently represented in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534381
It is not immediately clear how to discount distant-future events, like climate change, when the distant-future discount rate itself is uncertain. The so-called Weitzman-Gollier puzzle is the fact that two seemingly symmetric and equally plausible ways of dealing with uncertain future discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274007
The optimal investment to mitigate climate change crucially depends on the discount rate used to evaluate the investment’s uncertain future benefits. The appropriate discount rate is a function of the horizon over which these benefits accrue and the riskiness of the investment. In this paper,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011388274
, clean technological progress, as well as uncertainty about climatic and economic factors, lead to lower emissions and … relative to a 'straw man' model with perfect capital mobility, fixed abatement costs and no uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290049
This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319395
uncertainty about the effects of increased greenhouse gas concentrations on climate. Criticisms of this controversial result fall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328782
According to the Framework Convention on Climate Change, global collective action is needed to stabilize “greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous [our emphasis] anthropogenic interference with the climate system.” The Framework Convention thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328806
is comparable to numeric models used in policy advising. Uncertainty surrounding climate change remains large. The closed …-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude …, distributional moments, and the climatic shadow values. Welfare gains from reducing uncertainty about temperature feedbacks are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307130
We introduce a “smart” cap and trade system that eliminates the welfare costs of asymmetric information (“uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012581980
the resulting warming over the next decades and centuries highly uncertain. We quantify how this uncertainty changes the … making under uncertainty. It clarifies the distinct roles of risk aversion, prudence, characteristics of the damage … formulation, and future policy response. We show that an optimal response to uncertainty substantially reduces the risk premium. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012657902