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The optimal investment to mitigate climate change crucially depends on the discount rate used to evaluate the investment’s uncertain future benefits. The appropriate discount rate is a function of the horizon over which these benefits accrue and the riskiness of the investment. In this paper,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011388274
It is not immediately clear how to discount distant-future events, like climate change, when the distant-future discount rate itself is uncertain. The so-called Weitzman-Gollier puzzle is the fact that two seemingly symmetric and equally plausible ways of dealing with uncertain future discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274007
Integrated assessment models (IAMs) provide key inputs to decision-makers on economically efficient climate policies, and technical change is one of the key assumptions in any IAM that estimates mitigation costs. We conduct a systematic survey of how technical change is currently represented in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534381
The objective of this paper is to critically assess the use of simple rules for the social cost of carbon (SCC) that employ a rudimentary form of the Ramsey Rule. Two interrelated caveats apply. First, if climate change poses a serious problem, it is hard to justify an exogenous constant growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892228
is comparable to numeric models used in policy advising. Uncertainty surrounding climate change remains large. The closed …-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude …, distributional moments, and the climatic shadow values. Welfare gains from reducing uncertainty about temperature feedbacks are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307130
uncertainty about the effects of increased greenhouse gas concentrations on climate. Criticisms of this controversial result fall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328782
According to the Framework Convention on Climate Change, global collective action is needed to stabilize “greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous [our emphasis] anthropogenic interference with the climate system.” The Framework Convention thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328806
realistic cases where only a limited fraction of climate uncertainty resolves, where future policy-makers have own agendas, or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615910
technological uncertainty favors taxes over cap and trade. Weitzman models a flow pollutant, but greenhouse gases are persistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932081
the resulting warming over the next decades and centuries highly uncertain. We quantify how this uncertainty changes the … making under uncertainty. It clarifies the distinct roles of risk aversion, prudence, characteristics of the damage … formulation, and future policy response. We show that an optimal response to uncertainty substantially reduces the risk premium. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012657902