Showing 1 - 10 of 551
, we use a free and instantaneous available source of leading indicators, the ifo World Economic Survey (WES), to forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867868
This paper uses R/S analysis and fractional integration techniques to examine the persistence of two sets of 12 ESG and conventional stock price indices from the MSCI database over the period 2007-2020 for a large number of both developed and emerging markets. Both sets of results imply that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225332
examine this prediction using a new measure of economic uncertainty, the World Uncertainty Index and focus on data from 126 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231969
This paper provides a new measure of human capital using PISA and PIAAC surveys, and mean years of schooling. The new measure is a cohort-weighted average of past PISA scores (representing the quality of education) of the working age population and the corresponding mean years of schooling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290779
This paper assesses the relationship between institutions, output, and productivity, when official output is corrected for the size of the shadow economy. Our results confirm the usual positive impact of institutional quality on official output and total factor productivity, and its negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316690
In many European countries established leftwing and rightwing parties have been threatened by policy convergence and, in turn, new populist parties that offer more polarized platforms. I investigate whether government ideology influences dragnet-controls - controls of persons conducted by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892136
We examine how Green governments influence macroeconomic, education, and environmental outcomes. We exploit that the Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan gave rise to an unanticipated change in government in the German state Baden-Wuerttemberg in 2011. Using the synthetic control method, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227483
We compare and contrast the economic growth performance of Estonia and Georgia since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 in an attempt to understand better the extent to which the growth differential between the two countries can be traced to increased efficiency in the use of capital and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316667
In this study, we systematically evaluate the potential of a bunch of survey-based indicators from different economic branches to forecasting export growth across a multitude of European countries. Our pseudo out-of-sample analyses reveal that the best-performing indicators beat a well-specified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861426
The current paper broadens the understanding of the role played by uncertainty in the context of macroeconomic fluctuations. It focuses on the implications of uncertainty shocks for indicators that tend to precede financial crises. In an empirical analysis we show for a set of four euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861435