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This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271965
changeover, Italian retailers have increased the number of price adjustments, which has translated into a higher inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274996
This article is our personal perspective on the IPS test and the subsequent developments of unit root and cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262740
inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290186
This paper examines long-range dependence in the inflation rates of the G7 countries by estimating their (fractional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831651
inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260984
inflation persistence in both the euro zone and the European Union as a whole (EU27). For this purpose a fractional integration … evidence of a significant increase in inflation persistence (especially in the case of the EU27, for which in addition to jumps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242004
monthly) are analysed using fractional integration and fractional cointegration methods. Further, recursive cointegration … exhibit long memory. There is cointegration between the ASEAN five and the US but almost none between the former and China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891049
This note examines the stochastic behaviour of US monthly 10-year government bond yields. Specifically, it estimates a fractional integration model suitable to capture both persistence and non-linearities, these being two important properties of interest rates. Two series are analysed, one from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314848
This paper applies fractional integration and cointegration methods to examine respectively the univariate properties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239604