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The Interplay between Oil and Food Commodity Prices : Has it Changed Over Time?
Peersman, Gert - 2019
Using time-varying BVARs, we find that oil price increases caused by oil supply shocks did not affect food commodity prices before the start of the millennium, but had positive spillover effects in more recent periods. Likewise, shortfalls in global food commodity supply--resulting from bad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861447
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Measuring the integration of staple food markets in Sub-Saharan Africa: Heterogeneous infrastructure and cross border trade in the East African community
Ihle, Rico; von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan; Zorya, Sergiy - 2011
This analysis employs cointegration methods and semiparametric regression in order to assess the integration of maize markets and the factors determining national and cross-national transmission of price signals in Sub-Saharan Africa. We use a rich dataset of 16 series of wholesale maize prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274732
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The Impact of Food Prices on Conflict Revisited
Winne, Jasmien De - 2019
Studies that examine the impact of food prices on conflict usually assume that (all) changes in international food prices are exogenous shocks for individual countries or local areas. By isolating strictly exogenous shifts in global food commodity prices, we show that this assumption could...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861404
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International Food Commodity Prices and Missing (Dis)Inflation in the Euro Area
Peersman, Gert - 2019
%- 30% of inflation volatility. In addition, large autonomous swings in international food prices contributed significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892245
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Have Capital Market Anomalies Worldwide Attenuated in the Recent Era of High Liquidity and Trading Activity?
Auer, Benjamin R. - 2018
We revisit and extend the study by Chordia et al. (2014) which documents that, in recent years, increased liquidity has significantly decreased exploitable returns of capital market anomalies in the US. Using a novel international dataset of arbitrage portfolio returns for four well-known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908691
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Great Volatility and Great Moderation
Grazzini, Jakob - 2019
We investigate the sources of the great changes in GDP volatility observed from 1966 to 2000. We develop a general …-sectoral linkages and households' behavior to aggregate volatility. Our results show that changes in sectoral volatility played an … important role in shaping volatility at the aggregate level. Moreover, asymmetries in the economic structure sometimes had an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892302
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Debt Shifting and Transfer Pricing in a Volatile World
Comincioli, Nicola; Panteghini, Paolo; Vergalli, Sergio - 2021
In this article we introduce a stochastic model with a multinational company (MNC) that exploits tax avoidance practices. We focus on both transfer pricing (TP) and debt shifting (DS) activities and show how their optimal level is chosen by the shareholders. In addition, we perform an extensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251265
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Currency Concentration in Sovereign Debt, Exchange Rate Cyclicality, and Volatility in Consumption
Fujii, Eiji - 2022
smooth their domestic consumption; however, it can also amplify volatility in consumption, depending on the currency in which … external debt portfolios, exchange rate cyclicality, and volatility in consumption of low- and middle-income countries. Since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241998
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Total, Asymmetric and Frequency Connectedness between Oil and Forex Markets
Baruník, Jozef - 2019
that divergence in monetary policy regimes affects forex volatility spillovers but that adding oil to a forex portfolio … shocks dominate forex volatility connectedness, positive shocks prevail when oil and forex markets are assessed jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865701
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The Global Effects of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni - 2020
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world … outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world output one year after the uncertainty shock due to Covid-19 to be about 14% …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834352