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Sectoral Okun's Law and Cross-Country Cyclical Differences
Goto, Eiji - 2020
US, the UK, Japan, and Switzerland to test several hypotheses that may explain why the aggregate Okun's coeffcients are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841145
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Inflation and GDP Dynamics in Production Networks : A Sufficient Statistics Approach
Afrouzi, Hassan; Bhattarai, Saroj - 2023
We derive closed-form solutions and sufficient statistics for inflation and GDP dynamics in multi-sector New Keynesian economies with arbitrary input-output linkages. Analytically, we decompose how production linkages (1) amplify the persistence of inflation and GDP responses to monetary and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356604
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Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States : New Data for Business Cycle Analyses and Long-Run Dynamics
Lehmann, Robert; Wikman, Ida - 2023
To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states. In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2021, thereby improving the regional database for Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260700
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The Devil is in the Shadow : Do Institutions Affect Income and Productivity or Only Official Income and Official Productivity?
Dreher, Axel; Meon, Pierre-Guillaume; Schneider, Friedrich - 2021
This paper assesses the relationship between institutions, output, and productivity, when official output is corrected … output and total factor productivity, and its negative impact on the size of the underground economy. However, once output is … total ("corrected") factor productivity even becomes insignificant. Differences in corrected output must then be attributed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316690
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Multinational Production and Global Shock Propagation During the Great Recession
Li, Haishi - 2023
interactions between MP and trade. According to the model with MP, supply-side productivity shocks contributed to the collapse of … to shocks that affected aggregate productivity and were specific to multinationals in a few key headquarters countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358332
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Migrants and Firms : Evidence from China
Imbert, Clément - 2019
price shocks. Following a migrant inflow, labor costs decline and employment expands. Labor productivity decreases sharply … migration mostly benefits low- productivity firms within locations. As migrants select into high-productivity destinations …, migration however strongly contributes to the equalization of factor productivity across locations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892144
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Asset ownership and foreign-market entry
Raff, Horst; Ryan, Michael; Stähler, Frank - 2006
This paper examines the link between a firm's ownership of productive assets and its choice of foreign-market entry strategy. We find that, controlling for industry- and country-specific characteristics, the most productive firms (i.e., those owning the most assets) will enter through greenfield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261423
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A Residual-Based Threshold Method for Detection of Units that are Too Big to Fail in Large Factor Models
Kapetanios, George - 2019
The importance of units with pervasive impacts on a large number of other units in a network has become increasingly recognized in the literature. In this paper we propose a new method to detect such influential or dominant units by basing our analysis on unit-specific residual error variances...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892182
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Panel Unit Root Tests in the Presence of a Multifactor Error Structure
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, L. Vanessa; Yamagata, Takashi - 2021
This paper extends the cross sectionally augmented panel unit root test proposed by Pesaran (2007) to the case of a multifactor error structure. The basic idea is to exploit information regarding the unobserved factors that are shared by other time series in addition to the variable under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316613
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Variable selection and inference for multi-period forecasting problems
Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2009
This paper conducts a broad-based comparison of iterated and direct multi-step forecasting approaches applied to both univariate and multivariate models. Theoretical results and Monte Carlo simulations suggest that iterated forecasts dominate direct forecasts when estimation error is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276226