Showing 1 - 10 of 2,102
This paper introduces the probabilistic formulation of continuous-time economic models: forward stochastic differential equations (SDE) govern the dynamics of backward-looking variables, and backward SDEs capture that of forward-looking variables. Deep learning streamlines the search for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014345557
This paper studies experimentally when and how ideological motives shape group decision-making outcomes. Groups …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243248
Two non-transitive theories to model decision making under risk are regret theory (Loomes and Sugden, 1982, 1987) and … salience theory (Bordalo, Gennaioli, and Shleifer, 2012). While the psychological underpinning of these two approaches is … of choice behavior. We investigate the overlap between these theories and show that original regret theory (Loomes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850081
Human decision-making differs due to variation in both incentives and available information. This generates substantial … challenges for the evaluation of whether and how machine learning predictions can improve decision outcomes. We propose a … decision maker payoff functions and predictive skill. We apply our framework to the major health policy problem of improving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314923
This paper presents an empirical investigation of the relation between decision speed and decision quality for a real …-by-move data provide exceptionally detailed and precise information about decision times and decision quality, based on a … with the predictions of procedural decision models like drift-diffusion-models in which decision makers sequentially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306854
This paper develops a dynamic programming method when the one-stage deviation principle in the sense of mechanism design literature doesn’t hold. The commonly used dynamic programming method is valid only if the one-stage deviation principle in the sense of mechanism design literature is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889686
We propose a new method for solving high-dimensional dynamic programming problems and recursive competitive equilibria with a large (but finite) number of heterogeneous agents using deep learning. The „curse of dimensionality“ is avoided due to four complementary techniques: (1) exploiting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221172
How much and when should we limit economic and social activity to ensure that the health-care system is not overwhelmed during an epidemic? We study a setting where ICU resources are constrained while suppression is costly (e.g., limiting economic interaction). Providing a fully analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833733
Subjective evaluations are widely used, but call for different contracts from traditional moral-hazard settings. Previous literature shows that contracts require payments to third parties, which real-world contracts rarely use. I show that the implicit assumption of deterministic contracts makes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311715
and decision time. Overall, the data show that more people follow the default if the nudge is made transparent. More … importantly, though, effects of transparency differ depending on whether people are fast or slow in their decision making. In … particular, (only) slow decision makers react more positively (keeping the default) if nudging is made transparent. Moreover, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014345559