Showing 1 - 10 of 2,140
The quasi-linear quadratic utility model is widely used in economics. The knowledge of its exact origin is less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866406
Bayesian updating is the dominant theory of learning. However, the theory is silent about how individuals react to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227484
In this paper we use the property that certainty equivalence, as implied by a first-order approximation to the solution of stochastic discrete-time models, breaks in its equivalent continuous-time version. We study the extent to which a first-order approximated solution built by perturbation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834991
deviation (in beliefs, utility, or perceived prices) is within e of expected utility theory. The number e can then be used as a …We propose a new measure of deviations from expected utility, given data on economic choices under risk and uncertainty … distance to the theory. We apply our methodology to three recent large-scale experiments. Many subjects in those experiments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892237
behavior of expected utility maximizers. Two types are characterized by high likelihood insensitivity; one of them is ambiguity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241994
We characterize intertemporal utility functions over heterogeneous goods that feature (i) a constant elasticity of … the goods. We find that a standard (stationary) intertemporal utility function is consistent with these two properties if … elasticities of substitution are identical, or if the instantaneous utility function is Cobb-Douglas. We also characterize the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844425
Using new survey data on quantitative growth expectations of firms in Germany, we show that firms resort to local information when forming expectations about aggregate growth. Firms extrapolate from the economic situation in their county, industry growth and their individual business situation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081046
Agents forming adaptive expectations generally make systematic mistakes. This characterization has fostered the rejection of adaptive expectations in macroeconomics. Experimental evidence, however, shows that in complex environments human subjects frequently rely on adaptive heuristics –...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217385
We estimate a Heterogeneous-Agent New Keynesian model with sticky household expectations that matches existing microeconomic evidence on marginal propensities to consume and macroeconomic evidence on the impulse response to a monetary policy shock. Our estimated model uncovers a central role for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842965
We propose a heuristic switching model of an asset market where the agents' choice of heuristic is consistent with their individual risk aversion. They choose between a fundamentalist and a trend-following rule to form expectations about the price of a risky asset. Given their risk aversion,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844420