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The Euro Crisis and Economic Growth : A Novel Counterfactual Approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019
warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone … more in the Eurozone periphery than in the standard counterfactual scenario. These results are not dictated by any specific … Eurozone's specificity, which is instead to be traced back to a sharper-than-expected contraction in investment and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042
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Fiscal Sustainability, Fiscal Reactions, Pitfalls and Determinants
Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022
We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We …-varying coefficients, we find that fiscal sustainability increases with growth, fiscal balances and fiscal rules indices, and decreases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296248
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To Consolidate or Not to Consolidate? A Multi-Step Analysis to Assess Needed Fiscal Sustainability
Afonso, António; Alves, José; Tovar Jalles, João - 2022
specifically on their degree of success, notably in terms of fiscal sustainability. The “need” to consolidate is based on having a … primary balance above or below the debt-stabilizing primary balance (provided by the IMF’s Debt Sustainability Analysis) for … each country. We then link the need for and the actual (historical) existence of fiscal adjustments to their sustainability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296715
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Collective Memories on the 2010 European Debt Crisis
Arnemann, Laura; Konrad, Kai A.; Potrafke, Niklas - 2021
We examine whether collective memories on the aid&reform programs chosen to handle the 2010 European debt crisis differ between citizens from borrower and lender countries. We use new international survey data for non-experts and experts in member countries of the euro area. The results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250727
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The Euro Area Periphery Sovereigns' Fiscal Positions and Unconventional Monetary Policy
Hülsewig, Oliver - 2020
We explore the reaction of the euro area periphery sovereigns' fiscal positions to an unconventional monetary policy shock. We estimate panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models over the period 2010-2018, and identify the shock by imposing sign restrictions. Our results suggest that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843420
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Public Finances Solvency in the Euro Area : True or False?
Afonso, António; Coelho, Jose Carlos - 2022
method, we find that (v) fiscal sustainability coefficients are higher the higher the lagged public debt ratios, fiscal rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076999
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Twin Deficits Through the Looking Glass : Time-Varying Analysis in the Euro Area
Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022
Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306033
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Compliance Effects of Sovereign Debt Cuts
Janeba, Eckhard - 2019
The controversy about sovereign debt cuts loomed prominently throughout crisis in the European Union (EU), as the EU legal rules were viewed to impose strict limitations on debt restructuring involving public creditors due to moral hazard concerns enshrined in the legal ban on bailouts. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866369
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Evidence on fiscal consolidations and the evolution of public debt in Europe
Cafiso, Gianluca; Cellini, Roberto - 2012
The objective of this paper is to gain insights into the relationship between deficit-reducing policies and the evolution of the debt/GDP ratio. We consider past events of fiscal consolidation in a selected group of EU countries, by using the new data set recently made available by Devries et...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291546
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Early Childcare Duration and Students' Later Outcomes in Europe
Boca, Daniela Del; Monfardini, Chiara; See, Sarah Grace - 2022
The importance of investment in early childhood education (ECE) has been widely documented in the literature. Among the benefits, particularly for children from disadvantaged backgrounds, is its potential to mitigate educational inequality. However, some evidence also suggests that the positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079643