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We estimate Okun's law, the negative relationship between output and the unemployment rate, at the sector level for the … coefficients are proportional to the aggregate in all four countries. We also show that the standard deviation of unemployment is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841145
We study empirically how various labor market institutions – (i) union density, (ii) unemployment benefit remuneration …, and (iii) employment protection – shape fiscal multipliers and output volatility. Our theoretical model highlights that … more stringent labor market institutions attenuate both fiscal spending multipliers and macroeconomic volatility. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083477
This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the period 1962-2021 using two different fractional integration approaches including Chebyshev polynomials and Fourier functions respectively. The results for both quarterly and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306037
generosity of long-term unemployment benefits. We propose a model with different unemployment durations, where the reform …’s steady state unemployment and that partial and equilibrium effect were nearly of equal importance. In addition, we provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239563
increases job-finding in the private sector by 10 percentage points within one year of unemployment. Six years later, high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244086
This paper revisits the well-known VAR evidence on the real effects of uncertainty shocks by Bloom (Econometrica 2009(3): 623-685. doi: 10.3982/ECTA6248). We replicate the results in a narrow sense using Eviews. In a wide sense, we extend his study by working with a smooth transition-VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824829
We investigate the long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change across 48 U.S. states over the period 1963.2016 using a novel econometric strategy which links deviations of temperature and precipitation (weather) from their long-term moving-average historical norms (climate) to various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306954
The official unemployment rate has become an inadequate measure of labor market conditions. This poses a major … unemployment rate by weighing part-time workers with 62.5%, the proportion of the time they work relative to full-time workers. We … provide new monthly estimates of the unemployment rate for the period 1994-2019 and find that their average during this 25 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861417
This paper estimates a New Keynesian model extended to include heterogeneous expectations, to revisit the evidence that postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot-driven fluctuations in the pre-1979 sample, with a switch...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836715
Macroeconomic and sector-specific shocks exert differential effects on investment in disaggregate sectoral data. The response to macroeconomic shocks is hump-shaped, just as in aggregate data. The effects of sectoral innovations decrease monotonically. A calibrated model of investment with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827670