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inventories react strongly and positively to news about future increases in total factor productivity. Theory suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860577
bond positions, which creates a net hedging demand for dollar assets that depreciates USD rates in both the forward and … spot markets. We document the time-varying nature of this net hedging demand and show how it relates to eco … FX hedging pressure can account for approximately 30% of all monthly variation in the seven most important dollar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242128
We identify total factor productivity (TFP) news shocks using standard VAR methodology and document a new stylized fact: in response to news about future increases in TFP, inventories rise and comove positively with other major macroeconomic aggregates. We show that the standard theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834348
Using Credit Default Swap spreads, we construct a forward-looking, market-implied carbon risk factor and show that carbon risk affects firms’ credit spread. The effect is larger for European than North American firms and varies substantially across industries, suggesting the market recognises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243102
We use data from a German online brokerage and a survey to show that retail investors sharply reduce risk-taking in response to nearby firm bankruptcies, which are not predictive of returns. The effects on trading are spatially highly concentrated, immediate and not persistent. They seem to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837679
In this survey, we review the quantitative macroeconomic literature analyzing consumer debt and default. We start by providing an overview of consumer bankruptcy law in the US and document the relevant institutional changes over time. We proceed with a comprehensive empirical section, describing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841141
We revisit and extend the study by Chordia et al. (2014) which documents that, in recent years, increased liquidity has … characterised by positive trends in liquidity, there is no persuasive time-series and cross-sectional evidence for a negative link … between anomalies in market returns and liquidity. Thus, this proxy of arbitrage activity does not appear to be a key factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908691
We study how furlough affects household financial distress during the COVID-19 pandemic. Furlough increases the probability of late housing and bill payments by 30% and 9%, respectively. The effects exist for individuals who rent their home, but not mortgagees who can mitigate financial distress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212266
—the liquidity premium. We rationalize this finding in an estimated heterogeneous-agent New-Keynesian (HANK) model with incomplete … markets and portfolio choice, in which public debt affects private liquidity. In this environment, the short-run fiscal … multiplier is amplified by the countercyclical liquidity premium. This liquidity channel stabilizes investment and crowds in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830353
We examine the impact of fintech start-ups on the performance and default risk of traditional financial institutions. We find a positive relationship between fintech start-up formations and incumbent institutions’ performance for the period 2005–2018 and a large sample of financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229697