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We examine how financial crises redistribute risk, employing novel empirical methods and micro data from the largest financial crisis of the 20th century – the Great Depression. Using balance-sheet and systemic risk measures at the bank level, we build an econometric model with incidental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014345560
This paper studies the secular increase in U.S. household debt and its relation to growing income inequality and financial fragility. We exploit a new household-level dataset that covers the joint distributions of debt, income, and wealth in the United States over the past seven decades. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834359
reserves (or a banking panic) occurs endogenously. We show that while a discount window policy introduced by the LLR is welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892137
U.S. banking crisis of the 20th century. Our systemic risk measure captures both the credit risk of an individual bank … commercial banking system (i.e., the network’s topology) created more inherent fragility, but systemic risk was nevertheless … banking crisis that occurred between 1930{33 raised systemic risk per bank by 33% and increased the riskiness of the very …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892160
Can central banks defuse rising stability risks in financial booms by leaning against the wind with higher interest rates? This paper studies the state-dependent effects of monetary policy on financial stability. Based on the near-universe of advanced economy financial cycles since the 19th...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825398
The paper analyses the linkages from financial developments to public finances. It maps and discusses the transmission channels to fiscal variables. These channels include asset prices, financing conditions, balance sheets of banks, non-banks and central banks and international linkages. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864940
A new procedure to trace the sources of contagion in the oil-finance nexus is proposed. We do this by consolidating veteran rules derived from the empirical oil literature to filter oil supply, global demand, and oil demand shocks into discrete typical and extreme conditions. We show how these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859610
There is a lively debate on the persistence of the current banking crisis' impact on GDP. Impulse Response Functions … estimation of IRFs by a methodology similar to Jorda's (2005) local projection method is robust to misspecifications of the data … banking crisis leads to an output loss of around 10 percent with little sign of recovery. GDP losses from banking crises are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276868
We identify externalities in human capital production function arising from sibling spillovers. Using regression discontinuity design generated by school-entry cutoffs and school records from one district in Florida, we find positive spillover effects from an older to a younger child in less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891055
This article provides a possible explanation for the heterogeneity of tax reaction functions under tax competition. In particular, we assume the existence of three jurisdictions, i, j and z, as well as of spillovers. Given this simple framework, we show that if jurisdictions compete to attract...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892282