Showing 1 - 10 of 1,013
economy permanently operates below capacity due to both structural unemployment and underemployment. The latter is a direct … demand and supply shocks are opposite to those of the standard case and result in a co-movement of unemployment and … explain movements of unemployment and underemployment in opposite directions. Finally, we show that fluctuations in the total …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012227658
economy permanently operates below capacity due to both structural unemployment and underemployment. The latter is a direct … demand and supply shocks are opposite to those of the standard case and result in a co-movement of unemployment and … explain movements of unemployment and underemployment in opposite directions. Finally, we show that fluctuations in the total …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832192
This paper examines the time-profile of the impact of systemic banking crises on GDP and industrial production using a panel of 24 countries over the inter-war period and compares this to the post-war experience of these countries. We show that banking crises have effects that induce medium-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500433
Capital flow and commodity cycles have long been connected with economic crises. Sparse historical data, however, has made it difficult to connect their timing. We date turning points in global capital flows and commodity prices across two centuries and provide estimates from alternative data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431277
We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments' popularity, predict financial crises above and beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in emerging economies. We show that governments in emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398574
This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks' balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420692
We investigate the relationship between unemployment and growth in China. We find considerable differences in the … find a hump-shaped relationship between unemployment and our proxy for the speed of reform. The current unemployment in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323010
In a multi-country general equilibrium economy with mobile capital and rigid-wage unemployment, countries may differ in … conditions under which - in contrast to free trade with undistorted labor markets - welfare declines and unemployment increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265967
density function with higher density and thereby generate large, asymmetric job-finding rate and unemployment reactions. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451421
unemployment and its duration distribution. Using the SIPP, we document the relation between workers’ (gross and net) occupational … mobility and unemployment duration over the long run and business cycle. To interpret this evidence, we develop an analytically … countercyclical net occupational mobility, the large volatility of unemployment and the cyclical properties of the unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012227628