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Dynamic Causal Forests, with an Application to Payroll Tax Incidence in Norway

Gavrilova, Evelina; Langørgen, Audun; Zoutman, Floris T. - 2023

This paper develops a machine-learning method that allows researchers to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects with panel data in a setting with many covariates. Our method, which we name the dynamic causal forest (DCF) method, extends the causal-forest method of Wager and Athey (2018) by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346998

The Political Costs of Oil Price Shocks

Arezki, Rabah; Djankov, Simeon; Nguyen, Ha; Yotzov, Ivan - 2022

We explore the effect of oil import price shocks on political outcomes using a worldwide dataset on elections of chief executives. Oil import price shocks cause a reduction in the odds of reelection of incumbents, an increase in media chatter about fuel prices, and an increase in non-violent...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013353375

The Nexus between Corruption and Academic Freedom: An International Examination Using Mediation Analysis

Capasso, Salvatore; Goel, Rajeev K.; Saunoris, James W. - 2022

Studying a relatively under-researched aspect in economics, this paper examines the nexus between corruption and academic freedom. Our main hypothesis is that greater corruption undermines academic freedom and we test this hypothesis using cross-national data for 104 nations over the years 2012...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013427676

New Forms of Democracy

Gersbach, Hans - 2022

difficulties of particular democracies to function properly confront democracy with a new series of challenges and opportunities … democracy. We survey a long period in the quest for such new forms and point to next inventions for such forms. We suggest to … experiment with new ways for democracy to extend the choice of democratic processes that can be implemented in real …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290044

The Puzzling Practice of Paying "Cash for Votes"

Murugesan, Anand; Tyran, Jean-Robert - 2023

exchange for their votes. That practice undermines the functioning of democracy but is pervasive in many parts of the world …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377478

When is a State Predatory?

Robinson, James A. - 1999

I argue that whether or not a state is predatory hinges on the relationship between development and the distribution of political power in society. Development is typically inconsistent with the preservation of the political status quo and this gives those who initially hold political power an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010314926

War and Democracy

Hess, Gregory D.; Orphanides, Athanasios - 1999

This paper presents a general equilibrium model of conflict based on a world populated by representative democracies. At the individual state level, when information regarding a leader's ability to defend the state against unavoidable conflict is va luable to voters, an incumbent leader seeking...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010314929

Does Liberté = Egalité? A Survey of the Empirical Evidence on the Links between Political Democracy and Income Inequality

Gradstein, Mark; Milanovic, Branko - 2000

between other measures of democracy, based on civil liberties and political rights, and inequality. The transition experience …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010314955

Democracy and Income In-Equality: An Empirical Analysis

Gradstein, Mark; Milanovic, Branko; Ying, Yvonne - 2001

While standard political economy theories suggest a moderating effect of democratization on income inequality, empirical literature has failed to uncover any such robust relationship. Here we take yet another look at this issue arguing first, that prevailing ideology may be an important...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315083

Do Civil and Political Repression Really Boost Foreign Direct Investments?

Harms, Philipp; Ursprung, Heinrich - 2001

thus supports the notion that there is a positive relationship between democracy and economic growth. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315140

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