Showing 1 - 10 of 175
, monetary policy, credit, primary commodity) shocks facing an emerging economy. We estimate the model with Bayesian methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052808
We develop a method that identifies the effects of nationwide policy, i.e., policy implemented across all regions at the same time. The core idea is to track outcome paths in terms of stages rather than time, where a stage of a regional outcome at time t is its location on the support of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469587
We propose a new non-recursive identification scheme for uncertainty shocks, which exploits breaks in the unconditional … volatility of macroeconomic variables. Such identification approach allows us to simultaneously address two major questions in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794138
The leading strategy for analyzing unstructured data uses two steps. First, latent variables of economic interest are estimated with an upstream information retrieval model. Second, the estimates are treated as "data" in a downstream econometric model. We establish theoretical arguments for why...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014574297
This paper considers spatial autoregressive panel data models and extends their analysis to the case where the spatial coefficients differ across the spatial units. It derives conditions under which the spatial coefficients are identified and develops a quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307088
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics based on the premise that uncertainty causes economic activity to slow down and contract. In this paper, we study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352410
In absence of randomized controlled experiments, identification is often aimed via instrumental variable (IV … design credible identification strategies, aforemost finding candidates for valid instruments. We discuss prominent IV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018160
This paper considers the problem of identification, estimation and inference in the case of spatial panel data models … errors. A quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimation procedure is developed and the conditions for identification of spatial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018233
interventions. The identification of such causal mechanisms is challenging and typically requires strong assumptions. This paper … discusses identification and estimation of natural direct and indirect effects in so-called double randomization designs that … outcome. We show that such designs allow for identification based on an assumption that is weaker than the assumption of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887402
to parameterize identification uncertainty without falling back on ad hoc prior specifications. They are also unable to … mainly the imposition of a highly unrealistic prior for the global impact price elasticity of oil supply. Once identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931916