Showing 1 - 10 of 88
In this paper, I demonstrate that an indicator which is commonly used to assess the long-term fiscal sustainability of public finances in EU member states (“S2”) is also defined if government borrowing rates are assumed to be permanently lower than the growth rate of GDP. I illustrate this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249654
, current account balance and public debt, as a percentage of GDP, and the temporal period (before and after 2010) also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306033
This paper exploits a novel trial in Norwegian local elections in 2011 to provide empirical evidence on fiscal performance from lowering the minimum voting age from 18 to 16. Using a difference in differences research strategy, we find that this voting age change reduced the net operating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357513
IMF programs are often considered to carry a “stigma” that triggers adverse market reactions. We show that such a negative IMF effect disappears when accounting for endogenous selection into programs. To proxy for a country's access to financial markets, we use credit ratings and investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920590
The loans of the IMF, World Bank, and other multilateral development banks (MDBs) are excluded from debt restructuring … MDBs: (a) they give concessional loans, and (b) they give loans to debt-distressed countries when other lenders would not … status of MDBs, and outline a debt restructuring process that includes MDBs. I also discuss a similar approach by Diwan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347019
This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt … for a universally applicable threshold effect in the relationship between public debt and economic growth, once we account … negative long-run effects of public debt build-up on output growth. Provided that public debt is on a downward trajectory, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307102
For a sample of sixteen OECD countries over the period 1980-2007 we show that, for given debt-GDP ratio, an increase in … the maturity of the public debt by one year lowers its long-term interest rate by around 20-30 basis points. This effect … is stronger for countries with higher average inflation or debt. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323031
This paper investigates the long-run effects of public debt and inflation on economic growth. Our contribution is both … over the 1965-2010 period, we find significant negative long-run effects of public debt and inflation on growth. Our … results indicate that, if the debt to GDP ratio is raised and this increase turns out to be permanent, then it will have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328717
show that growth is higher if the debt to GDP ratio is below 60 % compared to values above it. Moreover, a comparison with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584860
I analyze how lack of commitment affects the maturity structure of sovereign debt. Governments balance benefits of …-term debt affects default and rollover decisions by subsequent policy makers. The equilibrium maturity structure is shaped by … revenue losses on inframarginal units of debt that reflect the price impact of these decisions. The model predicts an interior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264518