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the period 1980q1-2011q4. That is, income is more often found to predict consumption and saving than the converse. Our … consumption and by exploring the direction of Granger causality between the two series. We also give evidence that house price … changes played a role in the US income and consumption dynamics, before, during and after the Great Recession. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531814
This paper applies fractional integration and cointegration methods to examine respectively the univariate properties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239604
households’ consumption expenditures and their perceived pass-through of the tax change into prices to quantify its effects. The … consumption spending by 34 billion Euros. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799699
relatively ineffective in stimulating consumption with regards to their costs when compared to other measures such as (targeted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377392
aggregate consumption for longer. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377472
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270503
debt and its ratio to GDP. Second, exploiting unit root analysis and cointegration, we test for the sustainability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281948
monthly) are analysed using fractional integration and fractional cointegration methods. Further, recursive cointegration … exhibit long memory. There is cointegration between the ASEAN five and the US but almost none between the former and China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891049
22 stock indices are analysed applying fractional integration/cointegration methods to daily data, first for a sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241989
We apply non-linear error-correction models to the empirical testing of the sustainability of the government's intertemporal budget constraint. Our empirical analysis, based on Italy, shows that the Italian government is meeting its intertemporal budget constraint, in spite of the high levels of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266076