Costain, James S.; Nuno, Galo; Thomas, Carlos - 2022
We build a no-arbitrage model of the yield curves in a heterogeneous monetary union with sovereign default risk, which … default probability, showing that it decreases with central bank bond-holdings. Calibrating the model to Germany and Italy, we … show that a “default risk extraction” channel is the main driver of Italian yields, and that flexibility makes asset …