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The Euro Area Periphery Sovereigns' Fiscal Positions and Unconventional Monetary Policy

Hülsewig, Oliver - 2020

We explore the reaction of the euro area periphery sovereigns' fiscal positions to an unconventional monetary policy shock. We estimate panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models over the period 2010-2018, and identify the shock by imposing sign restrictions. Our results suggest that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843420

Public Finances Solvency in the Euro Area : True or False?

Afonso, António; Coelho, Jose Carlos - 2022

We assess public finances solvency for Euro Area countries using quarterly data between 1999Q1 and 2020Q4. Through a country-by-country analysis, the answer to the title question is true. For most countries, (i) the primary budget balance reacts positively to the lagged public debt ratio and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076999

Twin Deficits Through the Looking Glass : Time-Varying Analysis in the Euro Area

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306033

Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus

Hristov, Nikolay - 2020

We explore the effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policy on the banks' sovereign debt portfolios. In particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond holdings in response to non-standard monetary policy shocks,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838235

The Financial Accelerator in the Euro Area : New Evidence Using a Mixture VAR Model

Bennani, Hamza; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2021

We estimate a logit mixture vector autoregressive model describing monetary policy transmission in the euro area over the period 2003Q1–2019Q4 with a special emphasis on credit conditions. With the help of this model, monetary policy transmission can be described as mixture of two states...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314851

Modelling Loans to Non-Financial Corporations within the Eurozone : A Long-Memory Approach

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A. - 2021

provided to non-financial corporations (NFCs) during the last three decades in four Eurozone countries, namely Germany, France … Cointegrated Vector Autoregression) models are estimated and then forecasts are also produced. All series are found to be highly …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315007

Central Bank Policies and Financial Markets : Lessons from the Euro Crisis

Mody, Ashoka - 2019

The European Central Bank (ECB) took many measures to combat the eurozone’s rolling financial crisis. For providing … desperately scarce dollars to eurozone banks, the ECB relied on the U.S. Federal Reserve. Using a novel econometric framework, we … October 2009 and September 2012, the most intense phase of the eurozone crisis. Dollar liquidity clearly reduced stress in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892183

Domestic Banks as Lightning Rods? Home Bias and Information During the Eurozone Crisis

Saka, Orkun - 2019

European banks have been criticized for holding excessive domestic government debt during the recent Eurozone crisis … covering the entire timeline of the Eurozone crisis, I first re-confirm that the crisis led to the reallocation of sovereign …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859050

Collective Memories on the 2010 European Debt Crisis

Arnemann, Laura; Konrad, Kai A.; Potrafke, Niklas - 2021

We examine whether collective memories on the aid&reform programs chosen to handle the 2010 European debt crisis differ between citizens from borrower and lender countries. We use new international survey data for non-experts and experts in member countries of the euro area. The results show...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250727

The Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Markets, CDS and Economic Activity : Time-Varying Evidence from the US and Europe

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Catik, Abdurrahman Nazif; … - 2021

This paper examines the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock returns, CDS and economic activity in the US and the five European countries (the UK, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain) which have been most affected. The sample period covers the dates from the first confirmed COVID-19 cases in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211119

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