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The Stock Market Effects of Islamist versus Non-Islamist Terror

Jin, Gan; Karim, Md Rafiul; Schulze, Günther G. - 2024

We are the first to analyze the effect of terror on stock markets by terror ideology. Surprisingly, we find that … Islamist terror attacks created significant negative abnormal returns in American and European markets, but the stock market … effects of other terror attacks were almost nil. For our sample of all 124 terrorist attacks in the US and Europe in the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534309

Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Dräger, Lena; Gründler, Klaus; Potrafke, Niklas - 2022

How do global political shocks influence individuals’ expectations about economic outcomes? We run a unique survey on inflation expectations among 145 tenured economics professors in Germany and exploit the 2022 Russian invasion in Ukraine as a natural experiment to identify the effect of a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013266614

Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations : Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Dräger, Lena; Gründler, Klaus; Potrafke, Niklas - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293844

Persecution and Escape : Professional Networks and High-Skilled Emigration from Nazi Germany

Becker, Sascha O.; Lindenthal, Volker; Mukand, Sharun; … - 2021

We study the role of professional networks in facilitating the escape of persecuted academics from Nazi Germany. From 1933, the Nazi regime started to dismiss academics of Jewish origin from their positions. The timing of dismissals created individual-level exogenous variation in the timing of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242812

A behaviour-based approach to the estimation of poverty in India

Almås, Ingvild; Kjelsrud, Anders; Somanathan, Rohini - 2013

Since the late 1970s, the price indices underlying the poverty lines in India have been updated using aggregate indices. Widespread criticism of these indices led to the adoption of a new official methodology in 2011 based on unit values from consumption survey data. We propose an alternative...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291670

Economic Analysis and Forecasting in the Global Economy and in Emerging and Developing Regions Including Africa: How Informative is the Ifo World Economic Survey (WES)?

Garnitz, Johanna; Leibfritz, Willi - 2016

Economists around the world rely in addition to official statistics on business (and consumer) surveys, which are more up-to-date. However, for many emerging and developing countries there is a lack of such surveys. This gap can, at least partly, be filled by the Ifo World Economic Survey (WES)....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555568

Networks of Volatility Spillovers among Stock Markets

Baumöhl, Eduard; Kocenda, Ev en; Lyócsa, Stefan; … - 2017

In our network analysis of 40 developed, emerging and frontier stock markets during 2006–2014, we describe and model volatility spillovers during global financial crisis and tranquil periods. The resulting market interconnectedness is depicted by fitting a spatial model incorporating several...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657197

Forecasting Imports with Information from Abroad

Grimme, Christian; Lehmann, Robert; Noeller, Marvin - 2018

Globalization has led to huge increases in import volumes, but the literature on import forecasting is still in its infancy. We introduce the first leading indicator especially constructed for total import growth, the so-called Import Climate. It builds on the idea that the import demand of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872136

The Falling Elasticity of Global Trade to Economic Activity: Testing the Demand Channel

Auboin, Marc; Borino, Floriana - 2018

Since the recovery from the great financial crisis in 2010, global real trade flows grew much slower than pre-crisis, in both absolute terms (growth rates) and relative terms (relative to GDP, from 2:1 in the great 1990’s to 1:1 since 2012) A debate has arisen as to whether this global trade...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931978

Reevaluating the role of trade agreements: does investment globalization make the WTO obsolete?

Blanchard, Emily J. - 2006

This paper demonstrates that international ownership can mitigate the terms of trade externalities that lead large countries to set inefficiently high tariffs, and may thereby substitute for negotiated tariff liberalization in eliminating the strategic manipulation of world prices. The policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263925

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