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In recessions, unemployment increases despite the—perhaps counterintuitive—fact that thenumber of unemployed workers … finding jobs expands. On net, unemployment rises only becauseeven more workers lose their jobs. We propose a theory of … unemployment fluctuations resting onthis countercyclicality of gross flows from unemployment into employment. In recessions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314859
between multiplier size and the import share. Employing an interacted panel VAR model for EU countries, we estimate the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823559
multiplier is sensitive to the assumption of orthogonality between total factor productivity (non-fiscal proxy) and tax shocks …. If this correlation is assumed to be zero, the tax multiplier is found to be around one. If such correlation is non …-zero, as supported by our empirical evidence, we find a tax multiplier three times as large. Second, we find the spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827668
This article reviews recent research findings on the effects of fiscal multipliers in normal times, during booms/busts, and in the presence of the zero lower bound. Studies on the effects of fiscal policy in open economy settings as well as contributions on the fiscal-monetary policy mix are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892219
when a small probability that some future government will exploit has a multiplier effect on earlier decisions. The … multiplier can be taken advantage of by a lobby paying for exploitation, or by a donor compensating for conservation. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834349
impact inflation, little crowding out of private expenditure exists, and the multiplier tends to be larger compared to a one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836206
We study empirically how various labor market institutions – (i) union density, (ii) unemployment benefit remuneration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083477
inflation from its trend, implying that the more demand-driven a recession, the higher the multiplier. Median multipliers range …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292507
assess whether New Keynesian Economics captures the quintessential features stressed by J.M. Keynes. Particular attention is … paid to Keynesian features omitted in New Keynesian workhorses such as the micro-founded Keynesian multiplier and the New …. Furthermore, they fail to allow for quantity rationing and to model unemployment as a catastrophic event. The macroeconomics based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261154
We study the effects of globalisation on the slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve for CPI inflation, based on a broad panel of 35 countries and controlling for possibly non-linear exchange rate effects. We find that the output gap generally has a significant positive effect on inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322779