Showing 1 - 10 of 458
The adaptive learning approach has been fruitfully employed to model the formation of aggregate expectations at the … macroeconomic level, as an alternative to rational expectations. This paper uses adaptive learning to understand, instead, the … sentiment, defined as the degrees of excess optimism and pessimism that cannot be justified by the near-rational learning model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831652
study experimentally to what extent cross-game learning can reduce overbidding in SPAs, taking into account cognitive skills … losses from high bids are more salient than in SPAs. Experience in FPAs causes substantial cross-game learning for … bid shading by cognitively more able participants, resulting in lower profits in FPAs. Thus, cross-game learning has the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314693
What are the effects of beliefs, sentiment, and uncertainty, over the business cycle? To answer this question, we develop a behavioral New Keynesian macroeconomic model, in which we relax the assumption of rational expectations. Agents are, instead, boundedly rational: they have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315209
infinite-horizon learning, and subjective expectations with Euler-equation learning. Under rational expectations, the model … necessitates of large, possibly unrealistically so, degrees of myopia. The same result persists under infinite-horizon learning …, given that agents are still remarkably farsighted. But, under Euler-equation learning, the model can fit the data with only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229788
learning as a two-armed bandit problem and highlight the interaction between learning (experimentation) and production. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892041
private returns to education within the employer learning framework of Farber and Gibbons [1996] and Altonji and Pierret [2001 …The social and the private returns to education differ when education can increase productivity, and also be used to … employers. If the instrument is hidden then it identifies the private returns to education, but if the instrument is observed by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841583
We demonstrate that heat inhibits learning and that school air-conditioning mitigates this effect. Student fixed … heat being particularly damaging. Weekend and summer heat has little impact, suggesting heat directly disrupts learning … simple benefit-cost tests. Without air-conditioning, a 1°F hotter school year reduces that years learning by one percent. Hot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892281
We derive the optimal monetary policy in a sticky price model when private agents follow adaptive learning. We show … order to facilitate private sector learning and thus ease the future intratemporal inflation-output gap trade-offs. The … policy recommendation is robust: the welfare loss entailed by the optimal policy under learning if the private sector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271452
This paper studies how updating affects ambiguity-attitude. In particular we focus on the generalized Bayesian update of the Jaffray-Phillipe sub-class of Choquet Expected Utility preferences. We find conditions for ambiguity-attitude to be the same before and after updating. A necessary and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281800
. Learning played a major role in individuals achieving what was referred to as complete rationality. I draw on these ideas, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261170