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In this paper, I demonstrate that an indicator which is commonly used to assess the long-term fiscal sustainability of public finances in EU member states (“S2”) is also defined if government borrowing rates are assumed to be permanently lower than the growth rate of GDP. I illustrate this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249654
shock. We estimate panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models over the period 2010-2018, and identify the shock by imposing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843420
period 1970-2007, for different EU and OECD country groupings. We use the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006), which is based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264585
Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306033
This paper exploits a novel trial in Norwegian local elections in 2011 to provide empirical evidence on fiscal performance from lowering the minimum voting age from 18 to 16. Using a difference in differences research strategy, we find that this voting age change reduced the net operating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357513
We use a panel of 21 OECD countries from 1970 to 2009 to investigate the effects of different fiscal adjustment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274800
We study sovereign bond yields in OECD countries with a dynamic panel by checking for cross-section dependence …; assessing panel cointegration; and estimating panel error-correction models. The results show that markets consider budgetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270876
Governments face a trade-off between insuring bondholders and taxpayers. If the government fully insures bondholders by manufacturing risk-free zero-beta debt, then it cannot also insure taxpayers against permanent macroeconomic shocks over long horizons. Instead, taxpayers will pay more in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244247
The price of a safe asset reflects not only the expected discounted future cash flows but also future service flows, since retrading allows partial insurance of idiosyncratic risk in an incomplete markets setting. This lowers the issuers’ interest burden and allows the government to run a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308246
In this paper we test whether German public debt has been sustainable by resorting to a test proposed by Bohn (1998). We apply non-parametric and semi-parametric regressions with time depending coefficients. This test shows that the mean of the coefficient relevant for sustainability has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261129